Expert on national projects and Putin: Russia will face problems on the "home front"


In 2020, the Kremlin is waiting for a combination of a calm foreign policy agenda with a shaft of accumulated domestic Russian problems. This opinion was published on the website of the Israeli Center for Strategic Studies "Begin-Sadat." The author of the text is the teacher of Tbilisi State University, an expert on Eurasia Emil Avdaliani.


This article notes that although European countries want to normalize relations with the Russians, the Ukrainian problem will ultimately prevent it from being seriously done. In addition, the West will not lift the sanctions.

Tension will not disappear in contacts between Russia and the United States, although the Americans in 2020 will be almost completely occupied with their elections. The Donald Trump administration is not interested in the escalation of tension, and yet Moscow risks getting new sanctions from across the ocean.

Moscow has developed fairly smooth relations with Beijing, based on common views on countering the United States in Eurasia. No surprises here.

Also in the publication, the view is expressed that strong cooperation will continue between Russia and Israel. The two countries will work together on security issues related in one way or another to the Syrian war.

One of the fronts where the Russians can achieve a major victory is Belarus. It will be extremely difficult for Minsk, which is under tremendous pressure from Moscow, to refuse serious concessions to the Kremlin regarding the unification of a number of state structures

- noted in the publication.

According to the Georgian researcher, the main challenges for the Kremlin are expected precisely on the “home front”. National projects launched by government to revitalize economics, apparently, will not give the proper result.

In connection with the many years of crisis, the wave of protests of Russians, characteristic of past years, will continue this year, and it will be more powerful than before. According to the author, an increasing role will be played by the lack of the necessary infrastructure linking the vast expanses of the country.

The relevance of the problem of the future has not disappeared anywhere political system of the Russian Federation after 2024, when President Vladimir Putin is supposed to leave his post. Now its contours are unclear, but in the media, Mr. Avdaliani believes, in all likelihood, certain hints will appear that will make the picture more complete.

It is noteworthy that other foreign analysts periodically give similar assessments of the domestic political situation in the Russian Federation, although their assumptions about the consequences of the protests of the population vary significantly.
  • Used photos: kremlin.ru
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  1. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
    gorenina91 (Irina) 5 March 2020 09: 48
    +2
    In connection with the many years of crisis, the wave of protests of Russians, characteristic of past years, will continue this year, and it will be more powerful than before.

    - No ... - there will be no wave of protest ... - although there will be an increase in food prices; for housing and communal services; for gasoline, etc ... - All the same on the "home front" will be zealously condemned cases in Ukraine ... - it's just crazy ... - on three or four leading TV channels in Russia, they do nothing but tirelessly, that they are scratching with tongues about Ukraine, Zelensky, about Bandera (who are not hot and not cold because of this) ... - These debates have already turned into "national projects" of Russia .., i.e. tirelessly discuss empty ... - The sense of this ... - zero; but on the other hand it became the "second component" from the category of "bread and circuses" ... - Such are the all-consuming "spectacles" that there is no time to talk about "daily bread" ...

    According to the author, an increasing role will be played by the lack of the necessary infrastructure linking the vast expanses of the country.

    - Well, why ... - here it is, this "infrastructure" ... has already appeared ... - this is the "Covid-19 coronavirus" ... - Thanks to the Chinese ... - they are constantly throwing us all sorts of things ; and already here it is embodied in a national idea ...
    - When one state constantly does so much harm to another state; then, at least ... - at least it is not worth making friends with such a "pest", and not that there is to establish some kind of broad business and trade relations ... - But ... for Russia, nothing matters ... - More than one generation of Russians (Russians) has already "made friends"; got nothing good from it ... - only one harm; but, nevertheless ... - everything continues in the same spirit ... - Obviously, the outgoing generation is satisfied that their children and grandchildren ... - will also continue this painfully vicious "friendship", which in the end can even destroy Russia ...
    - In the meantime, all of Russia is watching the debates on Russian TV; and in the evenings he contemplates conjugal adultery and all kinds of love and everyday life "courtly pranks", which are also offered to our viewers by Russian TV channels ...
    - What kind of "national project" is there ... - not before ...
    1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 5 March 2020 20: 37
      +1
      Oh, Irina, Irina ... Tell me, why did you drag here -

      - on three or four leading TV channels in Russia

      For your information, the economy of my country is not done on the TV screen.
      And yes, why didn't you just write about channels, specifically about Russian channels? But everything is very simple! For us, residents, when discussing any of our internal events or problems, we do not indicate that this is happening IN RUSSIA, we simply say - WITH US! And those who do not live in Russia have to speak (or write) and indicate "... in Russia ...", because THEY DO NOT ASSOCIATE THEMSELVES WITH RUSSIA!
      So, dear ... here you have betrayed yourself with your head. tongue laughing ... love since March 8th you, dear hi .
      1. gorenina91 Offline gorenina91
        gorenina91 (Irina) 6 March 2020 04: 18
        -1
        -And you ...- also with OUR March 8 ... and with no more ...
        1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
          A.Lex (Secret information) 9 March 2020 16: 16
          0
          Yours, yours laughing all the rest....
    2. Roarv Offline Roarv
      Roarv (Robert) 6 March 2020 17: 31
      0
      Mdya .. AAA .. Difficult, very difficult. Disagree with you .......
      Sometimes I see that if there weren’t the odious journalists on the first channels, we would find common ground with Ukrainians of non-Bender’s thinking.
  2. Nikolay Malyugin (Nikolai Malyugin) 5 March 2020 16: 22
    +1
    I think that the protest will be repeated. But they will be humanitarian in nature, which has nothing to do with the people. Many people departed from the past, but did not come to the present. We must learn to live in the conditions in which the whole country lives. Many complain about the volume of programs about Ukraine. I did not regret 1500 rubles. And look what I want.
    1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 5 March 2020 20: 41
      0
      Nikolay, I’m still crying for 400 (the first three months), and then 800 ... something is a bit much for you ...
      1. Nikolay Malyugin (Nikolai Malyugin) 6 March 2020 07: 15
        0
        Tricolor costs exactly as much as I indicated. To other sources the path is closed.
        1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
          A.Lex (Secret information) 9 March 2020 16: 14
          0
          ... ahhh ... I switched to Ufanet from Rostelecom.
  3. Rus Offline Rus
    Rus 5 March 2020 17: 34
    0
    Do not wait. They are constantly. 20 years of stagnation and decline.
  4. Regis Offline Regis
    Regis (Sergey Kopan) 5 March 2020 17: 51
    +2
    Precisely, the liberals, warmed up and lured by Western "friends", have always been problem guys.
  5. Roarv Offline Roarv
    Roarv (Robert) 6 March 2020 18: 19
    +1
    These problems are easy to overcome. Easy to introduce taxes for business. 80-90% on profit. VAT do 50%. Email Tariff energy 20 rub. kW Gas 15 rub. cube Gasoline price of 1 liter - 2 Euro. Water - 1 cubic meter - 500 rub.
    This is the only way civil society will cease to be passive. At the elections
    only then will branch trade unions be created. And who will defend the rights specified in the Constitution?
    Only then will a bipartisan parliament appear in the country, and not one-day parties with their clones of the OP and ONF.
    Only then in the country for every State Official, Deputy, Senator, having two to three citizenships and real estate. And storing assets abroad. Make a personalized. Ice ax. ......