Should Russia fight Syria with the Turks, Americans and Israelis?


The operation of the Russian Aerospace Forces in Syria has been ongoing for the fifth year. If we recall the events that preceded it, then we can quite confidently say that Moscow, in alliance with Iran, saved the regime of Bashar al-Assad from defeat.


Before the transfer of the Russian military contingent to the SAR, things from Damascus went awry: the country was flooded with numerous armed groups, the most terrible of which can be considered ISIS prohibited in the Russian Federation, the territory controlled by government forces was constantly reduced. The Syrian army, exhausted by many years of war, was losing ground under increasing pressure. Many "network experts" predicted President Assad's last days.

The situation was extremely serious, Russia intervened when it was almost too late. For objective reasons, the amount of military assistance to Syria was metered, but this was enough to begin to gradually tilt the bowl in favor of Damascus. Actions by relatively modest forces, the Russian Aerospace Forces and Russian military advisers since 2015, along with the Iranian allies, helped the authorities to take control of most of the ATS, despite initial skepticism about their capabilities.

This really can be considered a very serious success. However, the complete restoration of the territorial integrity of Syria and the establishment of a peaceful life is still very far away. Big problems remain with the American interventionists who seized Syrian oil, the Turkish military and the militants under their control, who occupied the north of the country, as well as with Israeli air raids. With what else can Russia help Damascus?

Let's start with the last paragraph. As you know, the Israeli Air Force regularly carry out illegal aerial attacks by a sovereign ATS, destroying objects of the Iranian military infrastructure. For objective reasons, Russia today has neither the opportunity nor the need to fight for Syria with Israel, which is a serious force in the region. The maximum that Damascus can count on is assistance in constructing a layered air defense system for the SAR, which it actually does not have, which we will discuss in detail told earlier. But this is a difficult, long and costly business, it is not clear who will pay for it, so the problem with Israeli air strikes, apparently, will remain a headache for Damascus and Tehran for a long time to come.

Things are not better with American interventionists who are illegally in Syria, have taken control of oil fields and, frankly, they are robbed daily. An attempt to drive out Kurdish American allies from the oil field and oil refinery in the province of Deir ez-Zor in February 2018 by the forces of the Wagnerites ended extremely poorly for them, the US Air Force devastated the ranks of the advancing Russian mercenaries. The data on the losses vary widely: from several dead to several hundred according to President Trump.

How to force the Americans out of Syria is not entirely clear. At the level of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation and the Pentagon, the military on both sides seems to be neutral. However, skirmishes are occurring more and more, though so far without using weapons. Of the latter, an incident on the road caused a resonance when the US Armed Forces purposefully actually tried to push the Russian Tiger with our troops. Constantly blocking movements by American patrols.

There is no doubt that the Russians have itched their hands for a long time, but they have to restrain themselves. A direct armed clash with the Americans in the SAR is definitely not needed today by the Russian Federation. Let's face it, the Syrians themselves will have to squeeze out the interventionists, most likely using the methods of guerrilla warfare, making the ground burn under their feet. But this is not a task for our military contingent.

Finally, the most serious problem for Russia in Syria is Turkey. Ankara has too many national interests in Idlib and Aleppo, about which we also told in detail. It is believed that the Turks might even plan to annex Afrin by analogy with the “Hatay Republic”.

A lot will depend on how far back President Erdogan is ready to retreat in his “conquests” in Syria, and where the “red line” will take place for him. The fact that the Turks are ready to shoot down planes and fight, they have already demonstrated. Now the key question is whether Moscow, in turn, is ready for the sake of Damascus “in an adult way” to fight Turkey with the corresponding consequences, or whether this will go beyond the framework of the initial operation of the Russian Aerospace Forces.

Objectively, our country does not need a war with Turkey. The Kremlin’s best bet would be the role of arbiter in the negotiations between Ankara and Damascus in search of a compromise on the next redistribution of the north of the SAR.
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  1. 69 Offline
    69 22 February 2020 13: 57
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    Russia has little choice, or in Syria, or again from Moscow to drive, there is a third option - to beat the cowboys directly in Texas, remotely, as they like, spit on the hostages, their property and yachts.
  2. 69 Offline
    69 22 February 2020 14: 20
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    Cowboys, to bloody diarrhea, are afraid of war in their territory, so they destroy others, this should be remembered to everyone who is on duty in the Strategic Missile Forces, there is no doubt that there will be only one chance - the first and the last.
  3. Rus Offline
    Rus 22 February 2020 14: 51
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    Bredyatina next! War with someone? You need poverty to conquer, and a poor level of medicine training, and expensive.
    1. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 22 February 2020 16: 24
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      Rus (Diman)
      How is it in your Ukraine? Is the weather getting better? Is spring close?
      1. Rus Offline
        Rus 22 February 2020 20: 47
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        Why Ukraine? Just Ulyanovsk! So zealously follow Ukraine, and do not give a damn about Russia!
        1. 123 Offline
          123 (123) 22 February 2020 21: 30
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          Why Ukraine? Just Ulyanovsk! So zealously follow Ukraine, and do not give a damn about Russia!

          Just a comment in the Ukrainian style, they say, do not go anywhere, do your own. Sorry, wrong. hi
          Do not tell by chance, poverty, roads and medicine - what do Syria have to do with it? You have forgotten to add corruption for a complete set. winked I present a picture, the military are now sitting in Syria, conferring, thinking what to do, if that. Here the question is, well, report on, how are things with the roads? What about medicine? And with education? What problems? Well then we turn off and leave, we will rebuild the autobahns, then we will return ..... Can you imagine that? smile
    2. Cheburashk Offline
      Cheburashk (Vladimir) 25 February 2020 16: 58
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      This is all true, BUT everything needs to be done at the same time. While they will be engaged in what you are talking about and only, then in the other direction there will be so many knives stuck in the back that it will then be too late to do this.
      The question is whether there will be enough resources for this! But if you want to eat deliciously and live well, and at the same time not get dirty, then it is unlikely to succeed!
  4. Marzhecki Online
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 22 February 2020 17: 22
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    Quote: Rus
    Bredyatina next! War with someone? You need poverty to conquer, and a poor level of medicine training, and expensive.

    Of course you need. But sometimes all these tasks are substituted for war.
  5. steelmaker Offline
    steelmaker 22 February 2020 19: 11
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    Stalin Africa was purple. But those countries that the USSR supported, he supported not only morally and by arms. I have repeatedly said here that we came to war ourselves. And once they arrived, then we must fight, and not negotiate. A feat of ALEXANDER PROKHORENKO was to inspire the Syrians themselves to defend their MOTHERLAND, and to teach and teach our military how to fight!

    It does not reach through the head, it will reach through the arms or legs.

    Who has served knows. For 5 years of the war, real soldiers can already be raised from children. And as much as we would not like, but since we are at war, we must fight ourselves! And the longer this war goes on, the greater the likelihood of a full-blown conflict. CONCLUSION: We must end with the war faster. Army, PMCs, but only then do not write off debts and do not forgive!
    1. Rus Offline
      Rus 22 February 2020 20: 51
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      Debts will not be repaid, that's for sure! And what to teach the Syrians, they have Assad from the 70s! The first son of the heir died, so he is almost a saint there! Who needs this for 50 years in power! And our soldiers do not need to go there! Our population is already declining!
      1. 123 Offline
        123 (123) 23 February 2020 11: 20
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        Debts will not be repaid, that's for sure!

        How do you know? That's for sure. yes

        And what to teach the Syrians, they have Assad from the 70s! The first son of the heir died, so he is almost a saint there! Who needs this for 50 years in power!

        Who cares who they have in power? This is their internal affair. In Azerbaijan, too, the second generation is in power, can you teach their lives?

        And our soldiers do not need to go there! Our population is already declining!

        Our soldiers are already there. You probably do not understand this, after all, Ulyanovsk is not Volgograd, houses and buses didn’t explode there, but they are also there so that you can calmly deal with the demographic problem. Almost 5 years have passed, have you done something in this direction or are you hoping for power? winked
        1. Rus Offline
          Rus 26 February 2020 22: 45
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          1. Because the friends of Russia are dictators who will forgive everything, we will not forgive ours, and Africa, Asia - all the time.
          2. I agree with you, this is their business, and our nefig is there to help Assad. They would sort it out themselves.
          3. Unfortunately, they are there.
          1. 123 Offline
            123 (123) 26 February 2020 23: 43
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            1. Because the friends of Russia are dictators who will forgive everything, we will not forgive ours, and Africa, Asia - all the time.

            1. There are no friends in politics, there are interests. Therefore, the division into friends and enemies is extremely stupid, because you perceive and evaluate the environment incorrectly. The situation will change and yesterday’s enemy may become a friend, and those whom you think are friends are not really such, following their interests they will betray and become enemies without hesitation. Who do you think are yours? Who didn’t forgive?

            2. I agree with you, this is their business, and our nefig is there to help Assad. They would sort it out themselves.

            2. So it was, until it became clear that they themselves would not figure it out. And after Syria they would come to us, starting from the Caucasus and Central Asia.

            3. Unfortunately, they are there.

            3. Yes, unfortunately, but in a different way.
      2. Bitter Offline
        Bitter (Gleb) 26 February 2020 10: 30
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        ... he's almost a saint there! Who needs this for 50 years in power!

        In Russia, many fans of Vladimir Vladimirovich will not agree with you.
  6. gorenina91 Online
    gorenina91 (Irina) 22 February 2020 19: 17
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    An attempt to drive out Kurdish American allies from the oil field and oil refinery in the province of Deir ez-Zor in February 2018 by the forces of the Wagnerites ended extremely poorly for them, the US Air Force devastated the ranks of the advancing Russian mercenaries.

    - And who interfered with the Russian armed forces in the same way ... - under du_ro_chku - suddenly hit the Turks and also inflict devastation in their ranks; like the Americans did to the Wagnerites ...
    - After all, the Turks who are unofficially in Syria are legally and practically consistent with the same “Wagner” ... - What prevented ??? - Uncertainty in the professionalism of their Russian military specialists ??? - Or a cowardly ingratiating position, which was initially chosen by the leadership of Russia, having sent its armed forces to Syria ???
    - Most likely both this and the other ... - And then the Americans worked very professionally ... - and now they will pump Syrian oil as much as they want ...
    - Now, if Russian experts had also worked against the Turks, today there would not have been a single Turkish soldier in Syria ... - And no one would have interceded for the Turks ... - not the Americans; moreover, the Israelis ...
    - But with its soft-bodied policies, the Russian leadership prefers to push itself further and further into a dead end ... - Yes, and such a Russian policy is simply confusing to the Syrians ... - and they also do not know and do not understand ... - what do they what to do next ... - since Russia itself does not know ... - what to do next ... - Really ... - our guarantor himself does not know what to do ... - such his actions simply defy any logic .. .
  7. Sergey Latyshev Offline
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 22 February 2020 22: 27
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    Again, the authors, we must someone .....
    But in fact, everything has been discussed for a long time .... And with Israel, and with USA, and with Turkey ....
    It’s only brave journalists who suck up the war, and from time to time the authorities of all countries report fruitful cooperation, constructive negotiations, high marks, etc. .....
  8. Wanderer039 Offline
    Wanderer039 23 February 2020 00: 27
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    The vaunted Israeli air defense could not really fight off the antediluvian Iraqi Scuds and with difficulty and variable success beat off the Arab homemade products ... A serious amount in the region, for the destruction of which one nuclear warhead is enough ...
  9. Marzhecki Online
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 23 February 2020 07: 38
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    Quote: Sergey Latyshev
    Again, the authors, we must someone .....

    If you read the article, then it says that they should not. The allied debt in the framework of the operation of the Russian Aerospace Forces has already been completed. Do you even read what was written before commenting.
  10. Marzhecki Online
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 23 February 2020 07: 39
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    Quote: Wanderer039
    The vaunted Israeli air defense could not really fight off the antediluvian Iraqi Scuds and with difficulty and variable success beat off the Arab homemade products ... A serious amount in the region, for the destruction of which one nuclear warhead is enough ...

    Israel has its own nuclear weapons, if that.
    It is you who will personally order the destruction of Israel, the US ally, and be responsible for this decision?
    1. Sapsan136 Offline
      Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 23 February 2020 23: 51
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      Well, if Israel believes that it can harm the Russian Federation with impunity, then they are mistaken there. Sooner or later, EVERYTHING will have to be paid for, but nuclear weapons are needed, without them it is situationally dangerous only to Arabs ... As for the USA, I don’t think that they will rush to fight for a foreign country with a nuclear power, such as the Russian Federation, or China ... This is fraught with the destruction of the United States, and - Your shirt is closer to the body ... The Yankees will exchange for themselves for anyone, and the Jews are no exception ...
      1. Binder Offline
        Binder (Miron) 27 February 2020 05: 43
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        Quote: Sapsan136
        nuclear weapons need their carriers, without them it is situationally dangerous only to Arabs ...

        With the help of their carriers, the Israelis put the satellites into orbit; they simply, unlike some, are not carried away by primitive animation and cheap praise. hi
        1. Sapsan136 Offline
          Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 27 February 2020 10: 40
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          They are always engaged in cheap boasting, denying their losses that even England hostile to Russia recognizes, calling themselves God-chosen, despite the fact that, according to modern scholars, Christ was most likely Greek and crucified him with the help of the Jew Jude ... Judaism, which Israel professes ... Israel is a country that, despite all its show-offs, was unable to repel 100% of Iraq's primitive Scud missiles, from the time of Khrushchev ...
          1. Binder Offline
            Binder (Miron) 27 February 2020 17: 15
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            Quote: Sapsan136
            They do cheap praise all the time, denying their losses

            You are lying, citizen. The Israelites never do not hide their losses, it’s not for you the Russian Federation.
            1. Sapsan136 Offline
              Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 27 February 2020 20: 14
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              You and Israel are lying ... Read "The Legendary Fighters" by Robert Jackson and finally leave for permanent residence in your Israel, since you hate Russia so much, nobody keeps you here ... Go to your homeland and you will be happy!
              1. Binder Offline
                Binder (Miron) 28 February 2020 02: 29
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                Read the magazine "Murzilka" - just for your level, and I, thank God, have been living in Israel for a long time and am quite happy. bully
                1. Sapsan136 Offline
                  Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 28 February 2020 10: 47
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                  no Well, we came to the conclusion that you are one of those who seduced the fables of Tel Aviv ... By the way, among my friends there are also people who have left for Israel and reviews about your country are more and more negative ... But, as Horace said -

                  Free will, saved paradise.
                  1. Binder Offline
                    Binder (Miron) 29 February 2020 02: 54
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                    Quote: Sapsan136
                    among my friends there are also those who have left for Israel and reviews about your country are increasingly negative

                    What friends - such and reviews. laughing
                    1. Sapsan136 Offline
                      Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 29 February 2020 09: 07
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                      sad Well, not for you to judge, with your Zionism and Russophobia.
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  12. Caretaker Offline
    Caretaker (Leonid) 23 February 2020 14: 05
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    In Syria, you should not fight with the Turks, Israelis and Americans.
    It is necessary to create conditions under which military clashes with our armed forces become unacceptable for "partners."
  13. Tramp1812 Offline
    Tramp1812 (Tramp 1812) 25 February 2020 14: 40
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    Syria today is a conglomerate of interests of third countries. Each of which put on one or another political force. Later, Turkey came to Syria. Now he’s trying to catch up. Nothing good will come of it for the Turks. Because to hold several fronts, including Libyan, the Turks can not do. But I want to. Israel does everything in its power to keep Iran away from the borders of the Jewish state. From time to time, Iran tries to test Israel for strength. After the “verification”, the verified Iranians are disassembled in the main form and sent to the guria. That is, from each according to his ability, but not to each according to his needs. And no one will fight with "grown-up" people. For the reason that military operations are not conducted on its territory.
  14. Cheburashk Offline
    Cheburashk (Vladimir) 25 February 2020 17: 01
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    With someone else's hands and try with minimal cost - yes, it should. A direct collision .... well, it's hard to say. It is unlikely that it will be large-scale, but if it suddenly does, then I believe it will be impossible to run. Then they will devour them all the same and ask for an addition.
  15. 69 Offline
    69 27 February 2020 17: 35
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    Quote: Bindyuzhnik
    Israelis never hide their losses

    One more occupier, one less, who cares? Moreover, you yourself beg.