Satanovsky described the scenario of "the invasion of Russian troops in Ukraine"


The sore imagination of the Ukrainian authorities, which have been claiming “Russian occupation” for the fifth year, prompted the Russian oriental scholar Yevgeny Satanovsky to describe the scenario as a real Russian invasion of Ukraine would have looked.


According to him, following military logic, Russia would inevitably have reached Transnistria, depriving Ukraine of access to the sea and forcing to trade through Bulgaria, Romania or the Baltic states.

However, in this case, Novorossia would have revived within its historical borders, and did not exist, like the Donbass, within the framework of the bits of two regions.

Thus, Crimea would initially remain with water and electricity, but without the need to build a bridge across the Kerch Strait.

Satanovsky suggested that the military version of the development of events would not be the reason for the introduction of more stringent sanctions against Russia than those that are in force today. But at the same time, it would become an occasion for a quarrel between Moscow and Minsk and Astana, and would also disrupt the construction of gas pipelines to Turkey and Germany.

At the same time, he noted that the Russian government would be faced with the need to restore and maintain order on a vast territory, which, given the current democratic system of the state, would be difficult.

In conclusion, the scientist concludes that until the "svidomye" and their curators bring the situation "to the explosion", Ukraine will languish and rot without Russian intervention, "which is terribly sorry."
  • Photos used: A.Savin / wikipedia.org
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  1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 9 February 2020 12: 56
    -2
    A lot of text and nothing! The United States in such a situation would have long overcome the Donbass. Even if there was no reason, they would have come up with it! And here for Russia a whole bunch of opportunities. You didn’t even have to climb with your Minsk agreements. The LDNR army itself would have reached Transnistria in 2014. We have a lot of work in Ukraine from Ukraine. And they can’t wait for Russia to stop all this mess. Many, so as not to hurt the house and family, refused to travel to Russia. Therefore, if our government would need peace and quiet in Ukraine ... When the brain is busy selling oil and gas, nobody will think about any Ukraine.
    1. Yuri Mikhailovsky (Yuri Mikhailovsky) 9 February 2020 19: 10
      0
      They are about Ukraine - they are about oil ...
    2. The comment was deleted.
    3. bobba94 Offline bobba94
      bobba94 (Vladimir) 10 February 2020 09: 53
      +4
      This is a simple matter, I mean - to overcome. The Americans used to do that before. Now they are smart, now they put their people in power in a sovereign country and suck everything out of this country without caring for the population. Here with Ukraine ..... squeeze, and then have to establish the same pension, average salary, again medicine, social services, employment, this is not a joke - 40 million people.
    4. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 10 February 2020 12: 17
      +2
      Listen, steel-maker, they wrote to you in Russian - WHO will restore order in the newly annexed territories? RF? Why do we need this? Or maybe you? If the inhabitants of these territories submitted a petition to OUR leadership to join the Russian Federation, then it would still be possible to talk about something. But this is not and will not be. It's just that everything that was left of the USSR in those territories was plundered, destroyed, taken away and scrapped, but you have to live on something ... So they say that Russia should annex them. I know that there are hard-working people there, but they are a minority. Basically, the people were reborn there. Or lovers of freebies (to drag everything that is bad), or a gopota that has come in large numbers from the western regions, or local nationalist horses. All of them don't give a damn what kind of power over them - that it is nezalezhna zhovto-blakytna, that the federal RF. They are always unhappy with everything. Those who would accept the power of the Russian Federation are their overwhelming minority. In these territories, poverty has reached such limits that residents are ready to go to different "Maidans" for loot (just to pay), without thinking about the consequences. Most of the sane and hard-working have left - some to the Russian Federation, some to Europe. Remains only...
      1. yury semru Offline yury semru
        yury semru (yury semru) 10 February 2020 18: 35
        +1
        I don't know the author of the meme "The Russian occupation still needs to be earned!", ... but this is a brilliant man, and this is exactly what is happening now with non-brothers, pushed and kicked by "our Western partners", who also need Russian occupation like air, for it is becoming more and more costly to feed the capricious screaming community of "freed from under the Russian Yga", and they are used to eating, as if not in themselves ...

        Sergey Vasiliev wrote.
        1. yury semru Offline yury semru
          yury semru (yury semru) 10 February 2020 18: 38
          0
          https://cont.ws/@sevariga/1399133
    5. Valentine Offline Valentine
      Valentine (Valentin) 10 February 2020 12: 26
      +3
      "To squeeze out" is a simple matter, but how to feed 30 million inhabitants of Ukraine, and this is without the population of the western regions, let them be fed by Poland, Hungary and Romania, who will get them, and Donbass is still in the sphere of influence of Russia, and that is expensive but not a pity, although many here will be hysterical about this, not having been in their shoes. There, our people who love Russia, believe in Russia, and breathe Russia, and are fighting for Russia, and even the hundred-year war had an end, and it takes a long time to normalize, but recognizing their independence is another matter, Russia is one of five members of the UN Security Council, and one will be enough, and we are no strangers to the hysterics of our Western "partners", and there, slowly, they will become part of the Russian Federation, as new federal districts.
  2. Rusa Offline Rusa
    Rusa 9 February 2020 20: 26
    0
    Quite reasonable arguments, I agree with Satanovsky.
    Kiev needs to end the games with Bandera and neo-Nazis, live by its own mind, and not by the will of Sherkhan from Washington, to change its foreign and domestic policies in the interests of the country. Confrontation with Russia is not the way to restore the economy and confidence of the common people of Ukraine.
    1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 10 February 2020 12: 18
      +1
      Rusa, are you so naive that you assume that they are free to "finish" something there?
  3. businessv Offline businessv
    businessv (Vadim) 9 February 2020 21: 03
    +4

    In conclusion, the scientist concludes that until the "svidomye" and their curators bring the situation "to the explosion", Ukraine will languish and rot without Russian intervention, "which is terribly sorry."

    Who knows, if not Satanovsky - besides the fact that he is a smart person, he is also rooted in an independent one, so he knows these topics firsthand! Although everything that he wrote about could be done without much difficulty in 2014, well, everything was very correctly stated about the consequences.
  4. Vkd dvk Offline Vkd dvk
    Vkd dvk (Victor) 9 February 2020 22: 56
    +2
    Quote: steel maker
    A lot of text and nothing! The United States in such a situation would have long overcome the Donbass. Even if there was no reason, they would have come up with it! And here for Russia a whole bunch of opportunities. You didn’t even have to climb with your Minsk agreements. The LDNR army itself would have reached Transnistria in 2014. We have a lot of work in Ukraine from Ukraine. And they can’t wait for Russia to stop all this mess. Many, so as not to hurt the house and family, refused to travel to Russia. Therefore, if our government would need peace and quiet in Ukraine ... When the brain is busy selling oil and gas, nobody will think about any Ukraine.

    They are waiting for the Russian guys to go to perish for those who once said "MY HUT WITH THE BORDER ...." In Russia itself, a house is called a house, not a hut. It follows that this proverb was born near the Dnieper, not the Volga. Why the hell are they sitting and waiting? Or eating Russian bread is better than fighting for your home (KHATU). Start and end with them. And to us - to help.
  5. Vkd dvk Offline Vkd dvk
    Vkd dvk (Victor) 9 February 2020 22: 59
    +1
    Quote: Yuri Mikhailovsky
    They are about Ukraine - they are about oil ...

    And they - about the loot. Swota.
  6. Sergey Latyshev Offline Sergey Latyshev
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 10 February 2020 09: 19
    +2
    So the Kremlin is happy with everything. A buffer zone of tension has been created. And hare. As Ossetia and Abkhazia have been living for decades, so will it be. Beneficial to everyone except the residents.
  7. Igor Pavlovich Offline Igor Pavlovich
    Igor Pavlovich (Igor Pavlovich) 10 February 2020 10: 26
    -7
    ... Sore imagination of the Ukrainian authorities.

    - no, this is Satanovsky’s inflamed imagination, which is not surprising with such a name ...
    1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 10 February 2020 12: 25
      +6
      Satan practical scientist, economist, candidate of economic sciences. Who are you? Or can you just crap in the comments? Something you could not hear anywhere and in any way, who are you and what?
      1. Igor Pavlovich Offline Igor Pavlovich
        Igor Pavlovich (Igor Pavlovich) 10 February 2020 14: 40
        -2
        A.Lex (classified information) - for you personally. I believe that COMMENTS is a platform where readers (regardless of their status) can express their opinions on the published articles, thoughts, facts, even make corrections to the text if there are obvious errors. If for you my opinion is - "you can only crap in the comments" - then you can very quickly reach the state of the toilet, which considers all people from only one point of view - they can only crap ...
        1. Valentine Offline Valentine
          Valentine (Valentin) 10 February 2020 18: 23
          +4
          Quote: Igor Pavlovich
          ... a platform where readers (regardless of their status) can express their opinions on printed articles, thoughts, facts, even make corrections to the text if there are obvious errors.

          I never minus anyone, not in my rules, but I hate those who just meanly and nasty just put their dislikes without discussing a controversial topic with an opponent, and never noticed this for ALex, but you, for the eyes, insulted the respected in Russia, a person, and even, as a small child, was tied to something by his surname - he expressed his opinion, and you have him in cash, which contradicts your own maxims on freedom of speech.
        2. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
          A.Lex (Secret information) 10 February 2020 20: 51
          +2
          Igor, but you insulted your eyes

          which is not surprising with such a name ..

          a person whose intelligence is higher than yours, and has brought more benefits to the country than you. To offend a person who cannot answer you is disgusting.
          1. Igor Pavlovich Offline Igor Pavlovich
            Igor Pavlovich (Igor Pavlovich) 10 February 2020 22: 20
            -1
            About the last name - you are right, I will try to get rid of the banter in the comments. Satanovsky, probably, understands the problems of the Middle East, but in assessing the policy of Europe and America, he, with his friend Solovyov, lowered all his authority to the level of a correspondent of the low-quality "yellow press". And I can argue about intelligence - I successfully defended my thesis for the degree of candidate of technical sciences as part of graduate school back in 1989, and my IQ is 141 ... Intelligence and sarcasm are nouns of the opposite kind.
            1. Valentine Offline Valentine
              Valentine (Valentin) 11 February 2020 08: 34
              +3
              Dear Igor Pavlovich! In terms of educational level, I do not consider myself inferior to you, but ... then explain to me why I perfectly understand both Satanovsky and the same Solovyov, whom you hate so much, but I do not understand and do not accept what the late Nikita Isaev said and says Nekrasov at all sorts of political talk shows, this is what happens, we talk about opposite and mutually exclusive things, but each in his own way love our country? I do not understand such idolatry of my opponents to the entire US, to Europe, which I only respect, but even then not for everything, but for technology, but not geopolitics, where they have brought a lot of troubles to humanity, starting with Japan and ending with Syria. In the old days, the USSR, too, "with fire and sword" planted the ideas of communism throughout our ball, but I do not see anything wrong with the ideas of communism, but the ways of their implementation cost a lot of blood where it was cultivated - Vietnam, Korea, Cuba, Nicaragua, Venezuela, etc. - and these are all our "shoals", but which have long been gone, and your idol with the Statue of Liberty continues such "games" to this day, and you blaspheme your country, but admire the West.
              1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
                A.Lex (Secret information) 12 February 2020 15: 36
                +1
                Almost everything is true, Valentine, except for "technology." It has long been known that technology theft is common throughout the world. In this not only we succeed, but also our "partners" on the planet - they really steal - only noise is worth it (for example, it is enough to cite the "holy 90s", when from the Russian Federation they dragged everyone who was not lazy, anything - no state secrets even came close). Because about the technological effectiveness of the West - this is so, my grandmother said in two more ...
                1. Valentine Offline Valentine
                  Valentine (Valentin) 12 February 2020 19: 29
                  +3
                  In technology, I, ALex, meant the quality of goods, whether it be a car or jeans, which are still held in high esteem, and that everyone steals and copies from rockets to coffee grinders - this is clear to everyone, but often all this is made not high quality - I bought myself a Singaporean food processor - chic, shine, beauty, a bunch of bells and whistles, and a shredder, and a squeezer, and a meat grinder, and a mixer, and a coffee grinder, and the box for it is impressive, as much as 60x60x60 cm, but after a week I have it he died safely, and that was after the 4th operation, and also the USSR combine harvester, 1983, plows for myself, and for that Singaporean "guy".
                  1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
                    A.Lex (Secret information) 14 February 2020 12: 34
                    0
                    ..... mmm ... Val, but what is dead? Engine or process (if it is there at all)?
                    Do you know how I do in such cases? It's simple - I try to adapt domestic (well, like domestic ... if there is ... ours was ditched ... there is little left ... even on "domestic" electric motors there are hieroglyphs) engines directly, without electronic guts, and my brother joins it's all with switches. After such an "upgrade", the technique lasts a long time. ... That's how we try to get out of everyday situations.
                    1. Valentine Offline Valentine
                      Valentine (Valentin) 15 February 2020 14: 11
                      +1
                      Yes, there is a tricky thing, it turned off and everything, no smell, no burnt, the microscopes, like, everything is safe, showed it in the service, and there they threw up their hands, and this overseas "miracle" lies. I will give him to my son-in-law, he works at the mine, they are talking about something in the electrical shop.
                      1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
                        A.Lex (Secret information) 16 February 2020 12: 03
                        0
                        Maybe there is an electronic engineer some acquaintance? Give it to him - he will say that you can chuck.
        3. Dear sofa expert. 9 March 2020 22: 54
          +1
          Not, but A.Lex is right. At first you would at least find out who Satanovsky is, then you would express your opinion.
      2. gore Offline gore
        gore (Alexander) 11 February 2020 08: 21
        +1
        A.Lex, Igor Palych simply grunted to be heard. And WHAT I grunted about - here we need to think hard ...
        1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
          A.Lex (Secret information) 12 February 2020 15: 37
          0
          As in that Soviet m / f - "Baba Yaga - against" ...
  8. Valentine Offline Valentine
    Valentine (Valentin) 10 February 2020 14: 16
    +1
    Quote: Rusa
    Kiev needs to end the games with Bandera and neo-Nazis, live their own minds.

    That's it, but only who will give them to do this - with "their own mind" they somehow do not like that, and somehow not as it should be in our time for "independent", "foreign" from anyone hitting.