"Oil War" with Belarus may end with a pyrrhic victory of Russia


The conflict over the conditions for oil supplies from Russia to Belarus continues to grow. Instead of Russian, Minsk is ready to purchase hydrocarbons from Norway, Kazakhstan, the UAE, Azerbaijan, Saudi Arabia and even the United States. Who will be able to win this "oil war", and will this victory not be Pyrrhic?


We repeat once again: the question of oil is a question of the future of our Union State. Obtained from Russia with significant discounts, “black gold” became the basis of the so-called “Belarusian economic miracle”. Local oil refineries refined and sold most of the Russian oil at a profit abroad. For many years, everyone was happy, while as a result of Western sanctions, the Russian economy was not hit hard.

This made me recall the dusty project of the Union State with Belarus, an agreement on the creation of which was signed under President Yeltsin. All past years, neither Moscow nor Minsk have been particularly keen to enforce its position. They remembered the Union State in the Kremlin when it turned out that with its help several problems could be solved at once.

Economic integration with Belarus will allow domestic "business captains" to improve their affairs by absorbing the enterprises of the fraternal republic. Political integration would allow President Putin to transfer to the chair of the head of the Union State in 2024. Judging by the events that unfolded after the Address to the Federal Assembly of January 15, 2020, the latter option has been postponed as a backup. But the financial problems of domestic oligarchs still need to be somehow solved.

As a means of forcing Minsk to fulfill contractual obligations, a “tax maneuver” in the oil sector was chosen. Because of it, the Belarusian budget will annually begin to lose huge funds, and from January 1, 2020, the supply of "black gold" from Russia is completely suspended. President Lukashenko announced his readiness to diversify the sources of oil to his country.

A trial batch of raw materials from Norway of the Johan Sverdrup variety, which is a direct competitor to the Russian Urals, has already been purchased. Alexander Grigoryevich is negotiating the supply of hydrocarbons from the Black Sea through a pipeline through Ukraine. Negotiations on the purchase of oil in the United States. Kazakhstan has expressed a desire to become a supplier of Minsk.

In the case of Kazakhstani oil, everything will depend on the position of the Kremlin. Raw materials can go through the Atyrau-Samara pipeline and the Druzhba pipeline. In Nur Sultan delicately declared:

We did not negotiate with the Russian side, because the transportation of oil to Belarus through the Druzhba system was the initiative of Belarus.


In theory, all three countries are members of the Eurasian Economic Union, which should mean the absence of any barriers. However, President Lukashenko said earlier that the Kremlin is against deliveries to Belarus from Kazakhstan through its territory. The situation, to put it mildly, is not entirely unambiguous.

It is worth asking how the chosen tactics and tools are suitable for the purpose of creating the Union State. On the one hand, President Lukashenko is wrong, demanding special conditions for himself, but not fulfilling the norms of the agreement signed by him. On the other hand, it is not entirely clear what exactly the Kremlin is seeking. If you believe the statement of Alexander Grigoryevich, Moscow expects from Minsk the accession of Belarus to Russia in the format of six regions, that is, the elimination of Belarusian statehood.

It is possible that President Lukashenko is somewhat exaggerating the ambitions of Moscow, but neither he nor a significant part of the Belarusian public are clearly ready for the “Anschluss” scenario. An attempt to hammer Minsk with the issue of oil is unlikely to lead to the desired result, rather, it will be the opposite. The well-known Russian expert in the field of energy Konstantin Simonov directly suggests getting rid of unnecessary and dangerous illusions:

It was like with Ukraine. The country after 2014 is in critical condition. I remember that we had clever people who said that Ukrainians would be starving, sober up and would return to us. They were really starving, and even partially sober, but they didn’t come to us.


Yes, defending sovereignty, Minsk will be able to replace Russian oil with alternative oil to the detriment of its economic interests, do not go to a fortuneteller. The logical result will be an increase in anti-Russian sentiment in the camp of our only official ally with all the ensuing consequences. A holy place is never empty, and other players will come to Belarus along with imported oil: the EU, the USA, and the PRC, who will help with money and specialists of a certain profile. After that, the “Ukrainian scenario” for Minsk will become very likely.

So is it worth it to go too far? Perhaps, instead of the “takeover” scenario, one should choose a more comfortable one for our Belarusian partners? For example, a confederate union, within which Minsk will retain a significant part of its political sovereignty? Instead of crude oil blackmail, switch to real mutually beneficial economic integration, which will be built not only around the supply of hydrocarbons?

In the same Kazakhstan, it’s obviously without pleasure watching how the Kremlin is trying to break the obstinate Minsk. Breaking does not build.
Photos used: https://pxhere.com/
Ctrl Enter

Noticed oshЫbku Highlight text and press. Ctrl + Enter

27 comments
Information

Dear reader, to leave comments on the publication, you must to register.
I have an account? Sign in

  1. steelmaker Offline
    steelmaker 29 January 2020 11: 35
    -7
    • 7
    • 14
    I am constantly indignant at how our authorities mock Belarus. And we must write more that they don’t talk like that with the Allies. Maybe then, under the pressure of arguments, SOME brains will stand in a row faster.
    1. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 29 January 2020 11: 59
      +3
      • 8
      • 5
      Maybe then, under the pressure of arguments, SOME brains will stand in a row faster.

      What, and are there arguments? Are they real?
    2. Valentine Offline
      Valentine (Valentin) 29 January 2020 12: 33
      +6
      • 12
      • 6
      And what else do you want to do, when Father wants everything for free, and oil and gas, and the latest weapons, but he doesn’t want the military bases needed for Russia, given the time of arrival, he doesn’t want to recognize Crimea as Russian, but wants to slip between streams rain - figs to you, and to you too - both the Jew and the Ukrainian still coexist in his Belarusian gut, in one bottle, and this mixture is simply unpredictable. And in Belarus, the Ukrainian scenario of the Minsk Euromaidan may very well be repeated. It is full of its Polish-Lithuanian tiers and drawbacks to put 10 million Belarusians on their knees in front of the local Natsiks, and the CIA, the NSA and the United States can do nothing about it, but Father But can’t do anything without horning him my new future owners from across the ocean, so that so far I do not see in them our allies, but only blackmailers and freeloaders.
    3. Rusa Offline
      Rusa 29 January 2020 13: 38
      +5
      • 9
      • 4
      ... So they do not talk with allies.

      It’s right to talk like Lukashenka with the Great Russians, and publicly, only women in the market can.
      You also need to see who is mocking and who. In such cases they say that

      the dog barks, and the caravan goes on.
    4. bobba94 Offline
      bobba94 (Vladimir) 29 January 2020 21: 08
      +7
      • 10
      • 3
      About three or four years ago I read on one Ukrainian site that if it had not been for the help of Belarus, then the military in the ATO would have been very ill. And why? I began to look for information .... it turns out that there are a lot of weapons in the APU, and there is very little ammunition, for example, if Hyacinth or Mstu can be stored for at least 50 years, then the storage period for shells for them is only 10 years, and they still had Soviet ammunition there since the 90s, thank you, but father helped out and fitted the shells, and at least into the loop. All armored vehicles, military KrAZ trucks and so on. We drove Belarusian fuel refined from Russian oil. Already asked our father, they threatened, but father does not care about all the threats .... You have a good nickname, but you would need to develop, read, improve, so to speak, your cultural level.
    5. bonifacius Offline
      bonifacius (Alex) 29 January 2020 23: 16
      +6
      • 9
      • 3
      Please remind me when, where and in what “father” Lukashenko showed himself as an ally of Russia? Crimping and kissing with Putin does not count.
    6. Bitter Offline
      Bitter (Gleb) 30 January 2020 23: 27
      +1
      • 1
      • 0
      No one will get up.
      Russia is a young developing oligarchic capitalist country and that’s it.
      The babble of the fraternal peoples, in the upper echelons of the economy, sometimes resembles the gentle muttering of a butcher in a slaughterhouse.
    7. Gadley Offline
      Gadley (Sergei) 31 January 2020 09: 15
      +1
      • 3
      • 2
      Stalevar, you, as the author, are on extremes. No one is scoffing at Belarus. They, as Samoyeds, mock themselves, thanks to Lukashenko. You can not be a little pregnant.
  2. Vasil K. Offline
    Vasil K. (Vasil K.) 29 January 2020 12: 15
    +8
    • 12
    • 4
    I have never heard blasphemy against Belarus from the Russian side. Lukashenko said a lot of things. There is no threat to Russia in losing hope for a union state - the people of Belarus will lose, that's for sure. How nervous the negotiations are going on, shows that the Belarusian side is aimed at maintaining preferences while remaining estranged from Russia.
  3. rotkiv04 Offline
    rotkiv04 (Victor) 29 January 2020 14: 20
    0
    • 4
    • 4
    Like it or not, it will turn out, like the C 404, but if you stand your ground, then at least money will not be thrown away.
  4. Rusa Offline
    Rusa 29 January 2020 14: 31
    +6
    • 10
    • 4
    There is no "oil war" with Belarus. These are all speculations and propaganda of liberals and agents of the State Department. Russia is a sovereign state and has the right to pursue its domestic policy as it sees fit, in its interests, to adopt its own laws, including on taxes and obligatory payments to the state budget.
    What is a tax maneuver? It’s just that they abolished export duties on oil and oil products, and in return increased the tax on oil production from the bowels of the country.
    There is no sedition in this. And what about other states, including Belarus?
    The Government of the Russian Federation has been given the task of fulfilling national programs and ensuring their implementation.
    Currently, in fact, there is no Union State with the Republic of Belarus, so speculation, blackmail by Lukashenko and his chatter about the prices of imported oil and gas from the Russian Federation mean that he wants to blame the problems of the authorities in Belarus before the presidential election.
    1. yury semru Offline
      yury semru (yury semru) 29 January 2020 19: 14
      +3
      • 6
      • 3
      You tell Marzhetsky this. And then he is a big specialist in all matters.
  5. 123 Offline
    123 (123) 29 January 2020 20: 40
    +5
    • 6
    • 1
    It is possible that President Lukashenko is somewhat exaggerating the ambitions of Moscow, but neither he nor a significant part of the Belarusian public are clearly ready for the “Anschluss” scenario.

    Sorry for the curiosity, where did the public opinion come from? The survey was conducted, or so, feelings and assumptions?

    An attempt to hammer Minsk with the issue of oil is unlikely to lead to the desired result, rather, it will be the opposite.

    Father will wander to the last. In any case, the result will be the opposite, then why pay for it?

    Yes, defending sovereignty, Minsk will be able to replace Russian oil with alternative oil to the detriment of its economic interests, do not go to a fortuneteller.

    A sovereign state is a market. Should we worry about the adequacy and economic literacy of the leadership of another country?

    The logical result will be an increase in anti-Russian sentiment in the camp of our only official ally with all the ensuing consequences.

    Is the decrease in anti-Russian sentiments too expensive? Friendship for money?

    A holy place is never empty, and other players will come to Belarus along with imported oil: the EU, the USA, and the PRC, who will help with money and specialists of a certain profile. After that, the “Ukrainian scenario” for Minsk will become very likely.

    If the experience of Yanukovych does not teach anything, then this is Lukashenko’s problem, let him try to make friends with the EU and the USA, at the same time, maybe he can ask Donald for cheaper oil. And China has already been there for a long time. By the way, But father is nice to warn that Rostov is not rubber.

    So is it worth it to go too far? Perhaps, instead of the “takeover” scenario, one should choose a more comfortable one for our Belarusian partners?

    And this was a comfortable mode; the RB leadership does not want another. 10 billion a year for comfort? Everyone creates and pays for himself cosiness and comfort.

    For example, a confederate union, within which Minsk will retain a significant part of its political sovereignty?

    There is no sovereignty without an economy; it’s a utopia, who pays, he orders music.

    Instead of crude oil blackmail, switch to real mutually beneficial economic integration, which will be built not only around the supply of hydrocarbons?

    Trading at market prices is now called "gross blackmail." belay But father is not interested in any economic integration, he just needs money. By the principle - you pay, and I will build the “Belarusian Economic Miracle” for this money, it’s easy to play a social state if you don’t pay for it.

    In the same Kazakhstan, it’s obviously without pleasure watching how the Kremlin is trying to break the obstinate Minsk. Breaking does not build.

    If, in the absence of infusions, withdrawal begins, it is time to get off the needle, the process is painful, but this is an internal affair of the neighboring state.
    In general, the choice is for Lukashenko, it is up to him to decide what will happen to his country. The aggravation is inevitable, Russia in one way or another took into account the Ukrainian experience, and prepared, for example -

    The Platform-O electric chassis was adopted by the Russian army.

    http://in24.org/technology/38404?utm_source=warfiles.ru

    True, not everything is ready (Nord Stream-2 is not completed), but in general Moscow is more prepared for the crisis in interstate relations. How prepared Minsk is for this is a big question. But this is not our problem.
  6. beeper Offline
    beeper 29 January 2020 21: 22
    +4
    • 6
    • 2
    I’m plaguing these Russian "experts (this does not apply to the author Sergei Marzhetsky, whom I respect, but to K. Simonov quoted by him!)" - they don’t see or do not want to see the obvious, they don’t comprehend what they said ??! request
    Although, the same Belarusian “father” with his “Neolithine” anti-Russian camarilla on the “Ukrainian example” has already, for themselves, understood perfectly well, “cut through” and are acting in a pro-Washington “key” advantageous to them!

    In Ukraine, they really got impoverished, starved (and even “sober up” many serf-maidowns who rode “for visa-free” on the Kiev “Euro Maidan” - to work unhindered opoby my Europeans) and after the anti-people pro-American Maidan coup, millions of ordinary workers became unemployed!
    But these impoverished “post-proletarians” can’t change anything, under the barrels of Bandera-Nazi assault rifles and punishing - drowning out any reasonable reasons with the total pressure of the amerococcupation “Ministry of Truth”, in the “post-maid” phoning colonies - “Ukraine”!
    And the Pro-Washington collaborators who have sucked to the “helm of power”: the Ukrainians “w / Bandera” are cool “privatizers” and their petty-bourgeois national “patriotic” servants, becoming the “occupation administration” in the neo-colonies of the USA, they become only richer, receiving regular multi-million and billionth handouts from Washington and its satellites!
    As a clear example of "Ukrainian patriots" shows, they have one motto"Fill up and rinse off, and there (on the razidayannaya" Ukraine ") even though the grass does not grow!"

    So, for the Belarusian colleagues of the Ukrainian banderlogs who had been humbling with Minsk “fed the authorities”, very attractive “alignments” - it would be possible already not to bother with the “social state” and some kind of “well-being of the population”, but “democratically” robbing their Belarusian fellow citizens, and even receive solid "cookies" from Washington neo-colonialists for their anti-Russian "policy" and suppression of the United States!

    Like all Ukrainian hunters "from the power", before the "Euro Maidan" times, their Belarusian colleagues also seek to ensure their anti-Russian "withdrawal" towards the West (frankly "stingy with improper irrevocable subsidies" to the aboriginal aborigines!) For the Russian "fraternal" preferences ", although they do not do it so openly (although the Kremlin leadership, as in the" Ukrainian case ", demonstrates some kind of" naive kindness "and" political blindness ", a little" seeing "only when blessed, at the expense of the Russian million new, by no means wealthy, taxpayers, "nezalezhniki" are already quite frankly "peeing" him right in the eye ?! winked), like the same “late” Yanyk-Azarov, withoutcleverly fallen into the "uncontested EuroOssossiatsiyu" and already completely disguised their Westernized intentions even with these "father’s" reasoning about the "search for ways to diversify" ...

    With the Belarusian “father’s”, most likely, there will be exactly the same story as with $ 3 uncontrolled "credited(in fact, to the detriment of their own citizens, irrevocably donated!) “The Kremlin at the end” dill “Yevukovich and his kleptokollegs” who were “integrating” with the government “fed the authorities”, for their personal well-being (all these stories about supposedly “caring for ordinary Ukrainian citizens” are only "stories", to us, ordinary Ukrainian workers, as well as to Belarus, these Russian "fraternal preferences" of the Russian authorities to their Ukrainian and Belarusian "partners", alas, do not reach, but go straight into the pocket of the local klepto-oligarchs and "roll back I "of their Russian colleagues!) ?!
    Despite fluctuations in "world prices", even cheaper, of oil products and gas, they, for ordinary household consumers, in the price tag of utility bills and at a gas station, only become more expensive, but by no means cheaper! request

    For all the same (well-known "in Ukraine"!) Pro-Washington, Russophobian-anti-Russian "habits", The current Belarusian authorities have already decided everything for themselves and, without asking, for the millions of their fellow citizens who are doomed by these Westerners to overt poverty and “depopulation”!
    And Russia, according to its long-standing habit, Belarusian amproholu- “Neolithians” in Minsk “fed the authorities”, like some kind of “Lomekhuzes”, are used only as a donor, fooling and lulling the Russian leadership and Russians with talks about their supposedly “pro-Russian” (as it was possible to do and the "fraternal" domaid Ukrainian authorities!) "!

    So already pyrrhic what kind of Russian are considerable (in total, non-purposeful and indisputable multi-billion dollar "wide gifts" to all irresponsible "pretty masters and gesheftmakher", in contrast, for example, from targeted and strictly "maydanosny" Washington "point influences (va, i) niy "-" only 5 billion to the Ukrainian "grant-eaters"!) of subsidies, the Kremlin has fed the power of anti-Russian Russophobes not only in Ukraine (contrary to the pro-Russian majority of the multinational Ukrainian labor population!), but also without having to "wind it around (well, maybe, just at the very last the second moment saved from banderitepek, the naval base of Sevastopol and the “unsinkable Black Sea aircraft carrier” “Our Crimea under sanctions and the sight of NATO” became a small “comforting prize of the“ dull ”victim-reactive diplomacy of“ Moscow ?! ”the Ukrainian Miscalculation made (and still is since does almost exactly the same-ingenuous and clumsy-clumsy ??!) the same thing in Belarus! winked

    Russian authorities and all adequate Russian workers - Raise Wellbeing and Build Life ordinary Russian workers, establish the Law Order (especially - really punish parasites-embezzlers and criminal criminals, regardless of their "authority" and "roof"!) and Strengthen (and this cannot be done without unifying and inspiring the majority of Russian citizens of the state Idea of ​​Justice and Development in its daily real embodiment!) the international authority of Russia will be the best Agitation and Pole of Attraction not only in the post-Soviet space - only then many for real want to be in union with such a State!
    And only in the case of such a sincere mutually beneficial association will a synergistic effect be achieved!

    And for the handouts and charity of respect and loyalty among the parasitic outcasts (who suck on the "helm of power" in many post-Soviet republics), "half-rising from their knees" and a priori "pregnant with Maidan", the current, purely "bourgeois-oriented" Russian Federation will not buy everything these marginal “specific fathers” with their camarillas, having received what they want, will immediately betray and sell, at the very first “click” of Washington, alas! request
    IMHO
  7. bear040 Offline
    bear040 29 January 2020 21: 56
    +9
    • 10
    • 1
    Russophobia Lukashenko and his Westerners puts an end to the union state with the Russian Federation ... Let world oil prices become a cold shower for Minsk, which has the audacity to cooperate in the military sphere with Ukraine, screaming at every corner that it is fighting with the Russian Federation ... Maybe , sober up from world oil prices in Minsk? !!! Well, and if not, then the Russian Federation has nothing at all to spend its money and resources on RB!
  8. Upmost Offline
    Upmost (Innocent) 30 January 2020 00: 40
    -1
    • 2
    • 3
    Local oil refineries refined and sold most of the Russian oil at a profit abroad. For many years, everyone was happy until, as a result of Western sanctions, the domestic economy was not seriously hit.
    It made me remember the dusty project of the Union State with Belarus, an agreement on the creation of which was signed under President Yeltsin. All past years, neither Moscow nor Minsk have been particularly keen to enforce its position. Remembered about the Union State in the Kremlin, when it turned out that with its help several problems could be solved at once.

    Economic integration with Belarus will allow domestic "business captains" to improve their affairs by absorbing the enterprises of the fraternal republic. Political integration would allow President Putin to transfer to the chair of the head of the Union State in 2024. Judging by the events that unfolded after the Address to the Federal Assembly of January 15, 2020, the last option while delayed as a spare. But financial problems of domestic oligarchs still need to somehow be solved.

    Here they are GOLD WORDS.
    I can only repeat the words from my last year’s comment:


    UpperMost (Innocent) December 25, 2019 21:07 p.m. -2

    Completeness already, and the Kremlin "imperials", and their adherents.
    If Belarus needs integration so much, then why are the Kremlin so insistent on it?
    Maybe, after all, they’re trying not for Belarus, but for themselves? For reasons well known to them.
    IMHO: to push Belarus into the Russian Federation is unlikely to succeed. Especially, after almost 28 years after the collapse of the USSR.
    New people were born and grew up who all this time had somehow lived outside the Russian Federation (and even outside such a "web-like" construct as a union state).
    Now they would just need to be zombified so that they, like "rams," became a part of the Russian Federation (or part of the aforementioned construct).
    Not otherwise.

    By the way, even then the local bots mined me too. What to do, they are paid for it.

    And S. Marzhetsky has great respect for the courage to speak honestly.
    1. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 31 January 2020 20: 45
      0
      • 1
      • 1
      By the way, even then the local bots mined me too. What to do, they are paid for it.

      Where can I go for payment? Of course, I’m ready to put you minus this way, but if they pay for it also .. laughing

      If Belarus needs integration so much, then why are the Kremlin so insistent on it?

      Because they have been paying for it for 28 years.

      IMHO: to push Belarus into the Russian Federation is unlikely to succeed. Especially, after almost 28 years after the collapse of the USSR.

      About that and talk, it's time to be determined. Either yes, or live independently, 28 years is a decent time to learn this.
      PS Do you advise me what to do, put a minus or wait for payment?
  9. Upmost Offline
    Upmost (Innocent) 30 January 2020 00: 41
    -2
    • 2
    • 4
    Quote: bear040
    for Minsk, which has the audacity to cooperate in the military sphere with Ukraine


    Minsk has the right to. This is an independent state.
    1. Pound Offline
      Pound (Alexander) 30 January 2020 04: 40
      +3
      • 5
      • 2
      So, Minsk has to pay for Russian oil at world prices, it has the right, as an independent state.
      1. Upmost Offline
        Upmost (Innocent) 30 January 2020 04: 47
        -2
        • 2
        • 4
        Well, and the Russian Federation with this approach after a while will have a second Ukraine.
        But the Russian Federation no longer has a third Ukraine — and all (or almost all) of the underbelly will end up being open.

        And this is taking into account the disproportionate potentials of the Russian Federation and NATO.

        Well done, geniuses of pure beauty.
    2. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 31 January 2020 20: 49
      +2
      • 2
      • 0
      Minsk has the right. This is an independent state.

      Here you read the opinions, it turns out that everyone has rights, only Russia has one responsibility, as soon as the conversation about our rights comes, it turns out to be blackmail, rude pressure and other abusive words. laughing
  10. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 30 January 2020 06: 46
    +3
    • 4
    • 1
    Quote: pishchak

    Russian authorities and all adequate Russian workers - Raise Well-being and Arrange the Life of ordinary Russian workers, establish the Law Order (especially - really punish parasites-embezzlers and criminal criminals, regardless of their "authority" and "roof"!) And Strengthen (but this is impossible to make without an unifying and inspiring majority of Russian citizens the state Idea of ​​Justice and Development in its daily real embodiment!) the international authority of Russia will be the best Agitation and Pole P tension not only in the post-Soviet space - only then many will really want to be in Union with such a State!
    And only in the case of such a sincere mutually beneficial association will a synergistic effect be achieved!

    Golden words!
    1. beeper Offline
      beeper 30 January 2020 09: 26
      -1
      • 0
      • 1
      hi Thank you, Sergey! So see and feel so! repeat
      And I know that it will be so, because the wise Otto von Bismarck did not lie "about Russia and Russians, like droplets of mercury ..."! yes
    2. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 31 January 2020 20: 53
      +1
      • 2
      • 1
      The authority of Russia - this will be the best Agitation and the Pole of Attraction not only in the post-Soviet space - only then many will really want to be in Union with such a State!

      Here, the main thing is not to overdo it, I’m not sure that we need all these “many”. request As if from interested persons it was not necessary to wave away a shovel. winked
  11. Bogut.Sr Offline
    Bogut.Sr (Mikhail Alekseev) 30 January 2020 13: 46
    +2
    • 3
    • 1
    Relations between countries should be primarily mutually beneficial. And no references to fraternal relations should prevent this. This will be honest and will not allow speculating on these "fraternal" relations, as Lukashenko does and how all our "brothers" did.
  12. Tektor Offline
    Tektor (Tektor) 30 January 2020 14: 28
    0
    • 1
    • 1
    The author is a little unaware that Luke relied on the Chinese, a couple of years ago how. Those. about some kind of pyrrhic trouble it was necessary to speak then. Now the AHL is simply taking money from the Chinese to pay off loans to Russia. And in this regard, there is no longer any place for us in Belarus: everything has already been marketed to us.
  13. Upmost Offline
    Upmost (Innocent) 3 February 2020 02: 44
    -1
    • 0
    • 1
    Quote: 123
    About that and talk, it's time to be determined. Either yes, or live independently, 28 years is a decent time to learn this.

    So they themselves inspired such an answer - it happens in different ways. Ukraine also set conditions. Then they threatened to close transit in general from 2019. Later "blown away and bent."