Putin began a large-scale operation to maintain power


January 15, 2020 will definitely go down in history. The day before, in the course of his Address to the Federal Assembly, having previously “warmed up” the population with a whole package of social initiatives (which is undoubtedly good), President Putin turned to the main thing: the Constitution of the Russian Federation, our Basic Law, will be rewritten. Immediately after the head of state’s speech, the entire government of Dmitry Medvedev resigned, and Mikhail Mishustin, the current head of the Federal Tax Service, was appointed in his place.


What do these changes mean for the future of Russia?

First of all, we note that our next forecast for 2020, given on December 14, 2019, a month ago, in ARTICLES titled "Perestroika under Putin: How the Constitution of Russia Will Be Rewritten." In it, we talked about the problem of the so-called “transit of power” in 2024, when the next term of office of Vladimir Vladimirovich expires.

There were three scenarios. In the first, the ex-president could go to the post of head of the Council of State, for which the powers of this body should be radically expanded by reducing them from the president, who becomes a nominal figure, and taking control of the government and Parliament.

The second scenario is a variation on the theme of “castling” and the creation of a “super-government” under Putin, where the president’s powers would also be reduced so that he could not dismiss the cabinet of ministers at his discretion. The third is an increase at the head of the Union State.

Now you can summarize the subtotal. Due to the stubbornness of Alexander Lukashenko in his reluctance to integrate with Russia, the latter scenario is clearly put in a long box. "Rokirovochka" also does not justify itself, since the economy so difficult that Vladimir Putin, apparently, did not dare to bear personal responsibility for them. There remains an option with the State Council, and it seems that it was he who was chosen as the worker.

How does this fit into the logic of rewriting the Constitution? Yes, it is very simple: it is proposed to take the government and the appointment of key figures in it under the control of the Parliament, or rather, its lower house. The president, what will happen after Putin, can only make these decisions. The appointment of the heads of power departments will have to be coordinated already with the Upper House. Recall, "United Russia" today dominates both houses of the Federal Assembly. It is possible that the electoral law will again be amended in such a way as to ensure the victory of the party in power in the next election.

Also, judges of the Supreme and Constitutional Courts are taken under control through the right of their removal by the Federation Council on the proposal of the President. That is, there is a complete reconfiguration of the country's governance system, where everything depends on the party in power and its leader, "our elbasy." It would be quite enough for him to head the Council of State, which will take control of key functions, it is not entirely clear why and how to answer. It is very significant that Dmitry Anatolyevich’s “proven staff” was put in second position on the Security Council, where he will oversee the security forces.

If you call a spade a spade, the entire management system of a huge country changes under a very specific person. In this case, there is a danger of a kind of dual power, when it will not be clear who is more important, the president or head of the State Council, which is very fraught with subsequent negative events. In this vein, it is important who Putin will appoint to the prime minister’s chair and whom he will appoint as successor as president.

The figure of the head of the cabinet is already clear. Mikhail Mishustin - a man in public policy new, not familiar. In general, political scientists and experts speak positively of him. He is a professional economist, doctor of sciences. For a long time, he headed the Tax Service of the Russian Federation, and set up its work well. This is a technocrat in the best sense of the word, under his leadership, the Tax has become a very effective state body.

In other words, Mishustin is a professional in his field, who is in his place, which, unfortunately, is not always the case with us. He will fulfill the tasks assigned to him, the only question is what they will be, and how long he will be the prime minister. It is possible that this is a figure "technical", Temporary. Now it remains to be wondered who will be identified as the "successors" and whether Mishustin himself will subsequently become them.
Used photos: http://kremlin.ru/
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  1. Oleg Rambover Offline
    Oleg Rambover (Oleg Rambover) 16 January 2020 13: 49
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    Now it remains to be wondered who will be identified as the "successors" and whether Mishustin himself will subsequently become one.

    And how tall is Mishustin? If Putin is higher, then there is no chance for him not to be president, if lower.
    1. Nick Offline
      Nick (Nikolai) 16 January 2020 16: 37
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      Quote: Oleg Rambover
      And how tall is Mishustin? If Putin is taller, then do not be his president, if there is a chance lower.

      For very tall: - This is important for giraffes growth. People value honor, conscience, intelligence.
      1. Oleg Rambover Offline
        Oleg Rambover (Oleg Rambover) 16 January 2020 18: 10
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        Well, I don’t know ... By what criteria did Medvedev choose at 08? In my opinion, his growth was his main advantage.
        1. Nick Offline
          Nick (Nikolai) 16 January 2020 19: 42
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          Quote: Oleg Rambover
          Well, I don’t know ... By what criteria did Medvedev choose at 08? In my opinion, his growth was his main advantage.

          You are mistaken. By the criterion of personal decency and devotion.
          1. Oleg Rambover Offline
            Oleg Rambover (Oleg Rambover) 16 January 2020 21: 21
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            At the expense of decency ....

            There is no money, but you hold on.

            ... Sneakers to take from Usmanov he has enough decency. Putin’s devotees have a wagon and a small trolley, but in order to be shorter, you have to look for it.
            PS Are you a fan of the former prime minister? I thought there were none in Russia.
            1. Nick Offline
              Nick (Nikolai) 16 January 2020 21: 26
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              Quote: Oleg Rambover
              At the expense of decency ....

              There is no money, but you hold on.

              Stupid phrase, well, not Cicero, the former prime minister. But where does the presence of absence?

              Quote: Oleg Rambover
              He has enough decency to take sneakers from Usmanov.

              Are you from bulk, or what? Believe in the tales of a foreign agent.

              1. Oleg Rambover Offline
                Oleg Rambover (Oleg Rambover) 17 January 2020 00: 04
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                Quote: Nick
                Stupid phrase, well, not Cicero, the former prime minister. But where does the presence of absence?

                When he says this, and then I see New Year’s photos, his residence, covered with snow, and not only ski slope, and the whole site, it’s hard for me to believe in the decency of a person. Maybe he doesn’t realize what he’s saying, rumor has it that he’s exposed to the “Russian flu." But in any case, to believe in his decency is very difficult.
                Are you really his fan? I have never met such people in my life. You are unique.

                Quote: Nick
                Yes, you have an inferiority complex. You turn to a psychologist.

                As there, do not tell me what to do and I will not tell you where to go.
                If we are talking about psychology .... Stalin, Hitler, Mussolini, Napoleon were small in stature.
                You can’t, oh you can’t choose a president of small stature.
                1. Nick Offline
                  Nick (Nikolai) 18 January 2020 12: 30
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                  Quote: Oleg Rambover
                  If we are talking about psychology .... Stalin, Hitler, Mussolini, Napoleon were small in stature.

                  You think that anthropometric data is about psychology. Stalin, by the way, had growth quite normal for those years - 174 cm, even higher than average by that time. And the leader is not in the size of growth or width of shoulders, but in intellectual and moral-volitional qualities, first of all.
                  1. Oleg Rambover Offline
                    Oleg Rambover (Oleg Rambover) 19 January 2020 01: 09
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                    Quote: Nick
                    You think that anthropometric data is about psychology.

                    And about psychology too.
                    Stalin was 164, like Lenin. One of the lowest rulers of Russia.
                2. 321 Offline
                  321 (321) 18 January 2020 12: 53
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                  Quote: Oleg Rambover
                  ... As there - do not tell me what to do and I will not tell you where to go ....

                  Well, you allow yourself this, so there’s nothing to forbid others hi
                  And this highlighting of posts very clearly highlighted your level of intelligence ... bully
      2. Alf Offline
        Alf (Vasiliy) 16 January 2020 19: 54
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        Quote: Nick
        People value honor, conscience, intelligence.

        The government does not have this product.
        1. Nick Offline
          Nick (Nikolai) 16 January 2020 19: 59
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          Quote: Alf
          The government does not have this product.

          However, a bold statement, and unproven. In general, one must judge one's sins. It is better to keep silent about strangers. The Lord will judge everyone, this is his right, not ours.
          1. Alf Offline
            Alf (Vasiliy) 16 January 2020 20: 01
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            Quote: Nick
            The Lord will judge everyone, this is his right, not ours.

            Yes, yes, in the afterlife the kingdom of heaven awaits everyone, but for now bear with it, lackeys.
            1. Nick Offline
              Nick (Nikolai) 16 January 2020 20: 06
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              Quote: Alf
              Yes, yes, in the afterlife the kingdom of heaven awaits everyone

              I'm not sure about myself. Zelo is sinful.
              It is unlikely that the Kingdom of God is waiting for you if you do not repent and do not repent.
              1. Alf Offline
                Alf (Vasiliy) 16 January 2020 20: 09
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                Quote: Nick
                Quote: Alf
                Yes, yes, in the afterlife the kingdom of heaven awaits everyone

                I'm not sure about myself. Zelo is sinful.
                It is unlikely that the Kingdom of God is waiting for you, if you do not repent and do not repent

                I don’t really have anything to repent of, but judging by the number of churches being built recently, the wisest sins are unlikely to make up.
                1. Nick Offline
                  Nick (Nikolai) 16 January 2020 20: 13
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                  Quote: Alf
                  I don’t have much to repent of

                  Yes, you don’t know just, every person is sinful. The original sin of our forefather, Adam, lies on all of us. But not all their sins are seen.

                  Quote: Alf
                  but judging by the number of churches being built recently, the wisest sins are unlikely to be covered.

                  But the imaginary ascribe to others that there is already a sin.
      3. Arkharov Offline
        Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 16 January 2020 21: 42
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        Nick
        Such qualities have recently had a large deficit. Especially in certain circles.
      4. marciz Offline
        marciz (Stas) 17 January 2020 20: 01
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        Watch the videos of Navalny and you will see what conscience the mind and intellect of your representatives of power, suckers are utter, thinking that you can scoff at people.
        1. Arkharov Offline
          Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 18 January 2020 09: 04
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          marciz
          As a rule, I agree with Navalny’s videos. Well done!!!
        2. Nick Offline
          Nick (Nikolai) 18 January 2020 12: 33
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          Quote: marciz
          Watch the videos of Navalny and you will see what conscience the mind and intellect of your representatives of power, suckers are utter, thinking that you can scoff at people.

          Navalny is a liar on the content of Western intelligence services. Your gullibility speaks of your naivety.
    2. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 17 January 2020 01: 21
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      Reasoning incorrectly, comrade. From a certain period, power in the country passes from bald to hairy. And so on the chain. Putin is bald, therefore, after him should come hairy. Draw your own conclusions.
      1. The comment was deleted.
  2. steelmaker Offline
    steelmaker 16 January 2020 15: 18
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    I agree. Putin has painfully frankly begun to usurp power. Mishustin, maybe a professional, but who will let him change the economic course? And so that he claims to be more, it is necessary to prove allegiance to the "family". Rather. we need someone who will carry out the second wave of privatization, then they will make him guilty and Putin will again be “white and fluffy”.
    1. Nick Offline
      Nick (Nikolai) 16 January 2020 16: 28
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      Quote: steel maker
      I agree. Putin has painfully frankly begun to usurp power. Mishustin, maybe a professional, but who will let him change the economic course? And so that he claims to be more, it is necessary to prove allegiance to the "family". Rather, we need someone who will carry out the second wave of privatization, then they will make him guilty and Putin will again be "white and fluffy."

      Question to steelworkers from casters. And why this government, in your opinion, could not carry out the second wave of privatization? It just propagandized it, and advertised, and here again! Government resigned. Along the way, the opposite is true! Putin just, these liberal ideas with privatization, did not inspire. And kirdyk to liberal ministers.
  3. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 16 January 2020 15: 21
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    Quote: steel maker
    I agree. Putin has painfully frankly begun to usurp power. Mishustin, maybe a professional, but who will let him change the economic course? And so that he claims to be more, it is necessary to prove allegiance to the "family". Rather, we need someone who will carry out the second wave of privatization, then they will make him guilty and Putin will again be "white and fluffy."

    Instead of a referendum, a survey will be held on the topic "Are you not against changing the Constitution?" Answer Options:
    Yes, do not mind.
    No, don't mind.
    smile
    1. The comment was deleted.
  4. Nick Offline
    Nick (Nikolai) 16 January 2020 16: 23
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    Half-articles - a dash of manure on a fan. Marzhetsky in his role.
  5. The comment was deleted.
  6. rotkiv04 Offline
    rotkiv04 (Victor) 16 January 2020 19: 35
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    So, the guarantor decided to become an ebasa, or maybe he’d better become a hockey player, because he scores a dozen goals.
  7. Alf Offline
    Alf (Vasiliy) 16 January 2020 19: 54
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    For a long time, he headed the Tax Service of the Russian Federation, and set up its work well.

    Just fine tuned. For every 10 rubles you earn, give 8 to a state that has "no money."
    1. Nick Offline
      Nick (Nikolai) 16 January 2020 21: 11
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      Quote: Alf
      For a long time, he headed the Tax Service of the Russian Federation, and set up its work well.

      Just fine tuned. For every 10 rubles you earn, give 8 to a state that has "no money."

      PIT in Russia 13%, not 80.
      1. Nick Offline
        Nick (Nikolai) 18 January 2020 12: 08
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        Quote: Nick
        Quote: Alf
        For a long time, he headed the Tax Service of the Russian Federation, and set up its work well.

        Just fine tuned. For every 10 rubles you earn, give 8 to a state that has "no money."

        PIT in Russia 13%, not 80.

        Judging by the minuses, here many do not even know the size of the tax on personal income in Russia. fool Svidomity with an independent, or something, landed? request
  8. cmonman Offline
    cmonman (Garik Mokin) 17 January 2020 00: 52
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    Trump did not sleep - he nibbled his nails and smoked nervously into his sleeve during the breaks!
    He would be like Putin came up with, and even with such ease!
    And here you can’t correct the Constitution for yourself, you won’t put Congress in your pocket, you can’t even look sternly at the Supreme Court.
    Yes, and the press constantly gets!
    Now you understand why Trump respects Putin? Yes, she is simply envious of him!
  9. Citizen Mѣshkov (Sergѣi) 17 January 2020 01: 18
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    They brought another face to power.
  10. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 17 January 2020 06: 33
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    Quote: Nick
    Half-articles - a dash of manure on a fan. Marzhetsky in his role.

    However, please note that my forecasts tend to come true. Unfortunately. recourse
    1. Nick Offline
      Nick (Nikolai) 18 January 2020 12: 05
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      Quote: Marzhetsky
      Quote: Nick
      Half-articles - a dash of manure on a fan. Marzhetsky in his role.

      However, please note that my forecasts tend to come true. Unfortunately. recourse

      I didn’t notice any coincidence of your forecasts with reality. More precisely, everyone interprets reality differently.
  11. Vkd dvk Offline
    Vkd dvk (Victor) 17 January 2020 11: 19
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    Quote: Oleg Rambover
    Now it remains to be wondered who will be identified as the "successors" and whether Mishustin himself will subsequently become one.

    And how tall is Mishustin? If Putin is higher, then there is no chance for him not to be president, if lower.

    Of course, you understood from everything that you learned in life, from kindergarten to college (?) That nobody appoints anyone taller than himself. Apparently, you were raised by ostriches, since you had such a conviction. Ostrich allows you to get closer to yourself only to someone above him. For this, those who know his habits hold a hat over themselves on a stick.
  12. Vkd dvk Offline
    Vkd dvk (Victor) 17 January 2020 11: 21
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    Quote: Marzhetsky
    Quote: Nick
    Half-articles - a dash of manure on a fan. Marzhetsky in his role.

    However, please note that my forecasts tend to come true. Unfortunately. recourse

    Hence the conclusion. It is necessary to make sure that you cannot, under any circumstances, make such forecasts. Choose such deprivation methods yourself.
  13. Dzafdet Offline
    Dzafdet (Sergei) 17 January 2020 11: 26
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    Rebuild, change ... All this is bullshit. The country is sorely lacking money for the population. Because of this, everything stagnates and decays. We need to raise salaries, but with such taxes (hello to the new prime minister), the country suffocates and dies ..
  14. gorenina91 Offline
    gorenina91 (Irina) 17 January 2020 12: 11
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    - Personally, I already wrote that ... that our guarantor is going to resign voluntarily before the end of his presidential term ... and is just going to "become Nazarbayev" ...
    - I.e. a person who does not officially hold senior government posts, but ... but ... but ... but at the same time all financial, economic and military-political power in the country is concentrated in his hands ... - Such a person in Kazakhstan is Nazarbayev ...
    - Our guarantor is going to become the same person in Russia ...
    - Our guarantor very cleverly and clearly brought D. Medvedev out of attack, easily sacrificing the entire government ... -Now all responsibility for all past (and future, of course) falls on the newly elected M. Mishustin ... - And after half a year nobody will even remember about Medvedev ... - it was an ordinary "empty place" ... - This Mishustin will answer for everything ...
    - Thus, our guarantor immediately "kills two birds with one stone":
    1. Saves for himself Medvedev, who at any moment can be useful to him (after all, he always came in handy for almost 20 years);
    2. Our guarantor shows all the oligarchs that he “doesn’t surrender" his own "and they are completely safe while he will lead them (and that they should not be too" independent "and continue to support him in everything); Thus, all the financial, economic and power levers will remain in his hands ...
    - And the State Duma itself and the president (who will be elected) will continue to play the role of “cosmetics” and the appearance of “state power” and “head of state” ...- noisy, debating, discussing something and supposedly solving state issues ...- Here and that’s it ...
  15. Hassan Abdukhalikov (Hassan Abdukhalikov) 17 January 2020 20: 56
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    Do not have time. World crisis on the nose. This super crisis WAS EVERYONE. Even the titans.
  16. Kuzma Murlyka Offline
    Kuzma Murlyka (Kuzma Murlyka) 19 January 2020 12: 12
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    For all 20 years, he only cared about his power - he built a vertical, adopted laws restricting the rights of citizens and reached the Basic Law of the country, and citizens, so as not to overshadow the mood - handouts, which are temporary in the face of economic stagnation.