US media described the likely scenario of a war with Iran


The day before the rocket attacks Iran at US military facilities in Iraq, some US media described the course of a possible Washington war against Tehran. Moreover, the forecasts, after analysis, turned out to be unpleasant for the stronghold of "democracy."


For example, a large article by The National Interest magazine describes how a possible US military operation against Iran could be a serious problem for Washington. It is noted that in this conflict, called "asymmetric", the parties will have different goals and indicators of success.

According to the forecast, in the event of a war, the United States will try to deliver a powerful blow to the army and other armed groups of Iran. In this case, the primary task will be to destroy the Iranian air defense. In turn, Tehran will try to do serious damage to Washington so that the conflict goes into a protracted phase, after which it will try to direct public opinion in the United States in the right direction. In addition, it describes the possibility of a geographical expansion of the war to other countries (Syria and Iraq), as well as Iran’s striking at Israel.

It is said that Iran will have “many opportunities” to overcome the US military advantage. First of all, this concerns the logistics of American troops in the region. Infrastructure is the weakest point, because the troops need to be provided with everything necessary. At the same time, Iranians can paralyze the Strait of Hormuz, which will inevitably affect the world oil market, and their hackers are able to carry out various cyber attacks.

It is emphasized that the most risky may be an invasion of Iran. It’s simply impossible to hide preparations for a military operation of this level. The publication recalls that more than 82 million people live in Iran, and the country's territory is 1 square meters. km (648th in the world), i.e. more than France, Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, Spain and Portugal combined.

Attention is also paid to the "insidiousness" of the geographical features of Iran, there are mountain ranges and deserts. It is also clarified that Ankara, with which Washington has ruined relations, is unlikely to sympathize with the US military venture, despite the status of a NATO member country.

According to experts of the publication, the United States will require at least 1,6 million troops for the occupation of Iran. The war will lead to the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people, and possibly even several million people.

Attention has been drawn to the fact that Iran is associated with various paramilitary movements in Iraq, Syria and Afghanistan. So the war with Iran can spread rapidly throughout the region.
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  1. Putin! Here it is - a chance to train air defense on real SAG bombers! I propose urgently deploying 2-3 S-400 divisions with Persian combat crews in Persia! As the ancient Roman generals said - exertzia, exertzia and exertzia!
    1. commbatant Offline
      commbatant (Sergei) 8 January 2020 17: 11
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      Quote: BoBot Robot - Free Thinking Machine
      Putin! Here it is - a chance to train air defense on real SAG bombers!

      First of all, not the SAG (?), But the SAC (Strategic Air Command) of the USA ...

      Offered urgently deploy in Persia 2-3 S-400 divisions with RUSSIAN combat crews!

      You got already with your S-400 divisions!
      Read first the Constitution of Iran (Article 146), ignorant ...

      It is forbidden to place any foreign military bases in the country, even for peaceful purposes.

      http://www.cis-emo.net/sites/default/files/imagesimce/constitution_of_iran.pdf

      In principle, this is a "-" for Iran ...
      But by the way:

      Member of the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, Hishmatullah Falahatpish, said at a parliamentary session Wednesday morning that the deployment of the Russian military at the Hamadan base violates an article in Iran’s constitution that prohibits the creation of foreign military bases in the country.
      In reply Larijani emphasized that "not a single base has been transferred to the Russian armed forces." He noted that Iran is cooperating with Russia on regional issues, especially on Syria.
      Russia posted at Hamadan airfield in Iran Tu-22M3 and Su-34 bombers, which since Tuesday have been striking in Syria against the positions of the Islamic State terrorist group (IS, banned in Russia).

      https://ria.ru/20160817/1474545419.html

      By the way, the indicated airfield (probably by accident) is in the area of ​​future hostilities for Iranian oil fields

      What should Iran do (propose) to the former "Small Shaitan" so that the Russian Aerospace Forces reappear at the indicated airport "on a temporary basis" in order to combat ISIS ....
      Frequent trips of Persian sheikhs and Israeli Jews throughout the summer-fall of 2019 indicate that these comrades persuaded the Dark One not to organize an “Iranian express” in the winter and spring of 2020, otherwise the entire military base will be “closed for repair” ..., there is still Comrade. Eun, Pakistan, China have not heard for a long time it’s not good.
      As the hero from Kipling’s story said, for many this hunt may turn out to be the last .... apparently, this is not included in the plans of pro-American Arabs in the BV and Israeli Jews ...
      1. isofat Offline
        isofat (Sergei) 8 January 2020 17: 17
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        commbatant, thanks for the information.
      2. 123 Offline
        123 (123) 9 January 2020 02: 10
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        + They are nervous. The window of opportunity closes in the fall (to be more precise, the arms embargo expires in August). For so many years they did not allow rearmament and all in vain. Time works against .... In general, a "rascal" can be grandiose.
  2. Arkharov Offline
    Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 8 January 2020 14: 36
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    Of course, the most beloved magazine was mentioned. With the help of the authors of the resource, I am increasingly coming to the conclusion that other media in the United States simply no longer exist.
  3. commbatant Offline
    commbatant (Sergei) 8 January 2020 16: 31
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    It is emphasized that the most risky may be an invasion of Iran.

    Therefore, it will not be, in any case, on its most part of the territory of Iran ...
    The United States is only interested in oil production sites and ports of Iran ...
    The national composition of Iran is heterogeneous and this is + for the USA ...
    The USA and other Anglo-Saxons will take complete control of Huseystan (following the example of Iraq), almost the entire Arab population of Iran is concentrated in the indicated province of Iran ...
    Since 1946, the Es-Saad party has been fighting for the independence of Khuzestan from Iran. Besides it, there is also the Arabistan Liberation Front. During the Iran-Iraq war, local Arab separatists maintained ties with the regime of Saddam Hussein.
    On April 30, 1980, Arabian separatists from Iran seized the Iranian embassy in London.
    Therefore, when conducting a land operation by the Anglo-Saxons to seize the indicated province, the armed forces and the IRGC IRI will not enjoy the support of the local population of this province ...
    According to the map of the ethnic composition of the Islamic Republic of Iran, there are few Persians living on the Persian Gulf coast, which will also affect the airborne defense of the Iranian coast in the event of a limited land and sea-landing operation of the U.S. and IMSC against the armed forces and the IRGC ...

    https://topwar.ru/86067-separatizm-v-irane-razrushat-li-edinstvo-strany-vnutrennie-konflikty.html

    Thus, the United States will fulfill its limited military objectives with respect to Iran:
    - The capture and retention of Khuzestan Iran:
    - Capture and retention of Iranian ports and transport communications (including pipelines) neighboring Iran’s Khuzestan:
    - at the request of Israeli Jews, and perhaps with their participation (the whole conflict most likely started because of this), launching missile and air strikes at nuclear research centers and missile positions of short and medium range;
    - the destruction of the military and state government of the Armed Forces / IRGC of Iran and its national economy, transport, economy, etc.

    Attention has been drawn to the fact that Iran is associated with various paramilitary movements in Iraq, Syria and Afghanistan. So the war with Iran can spread rapidly throughout the region.

    The loss of Iran’s Khuzestan and the Persian Gulf ports will call into question the very existence of Iran.
    The Peters map created in the 80s only indicates that Iran will lose part of its territories in favor of its neighbors and its separatists ... as usually controlled by the USA and Great Britain ... nobody needs all of Iran with its mountains ..., like the whole of Iraq and the SAR with their deserts, only oil fields and nothing personal ...

    1. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 9 January 2020 02: 13
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      This is a minimum program. Access to the shores of the Caspian Sea looks preferable, but .... there is a limit of dreams.
      1. commbatant Offline
        commbatant (Sergei) 9 January 2020 08: 00
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        Quote: 123
        This is a minimum program. Access to the shores of the Caspian Sea looks preferable, but .... there is a limit of dreams.

        Especially, given that in this situation, and even at the initial stage of the operation, Armenia will be completely isolated and will not be able to use Iranian territory to transit goods through the Caspian and Iran (if it is blockaded by Georgia and Azerbaijan), and 102 The XNUMXst WB of the Russian Federation there will be locked, as in the PMR ...
        So, the Russian Federation will not be able to sit out, and this is bad .... because. she will be drawn into the conflict, at least indirectly ...
        1. 123 Offline
          123 (123) 9 January 2020 12: 04
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          So the Russian Federation will not be able to sit out, and this is bad .... because. she will be drawn into the conflict, at least indirectly ...

          Unfortunately yes.
  4. gorenina91 Online
    gorenina91 (Irina) 8 January 2020 16: 41
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    US media described the likely scenario of a war with Iran

    - Yes .. if only the Americans could do it ...
    - But Trump again - he can just bluff ... -Although the Pentagon has been hitting the hoof for a long time with impatience .., but personally, I doubt very much that Trump is the president who can destroy Iran ... -Truump is very weak all his military attempts and actions ...
    - The elimination of Suleymani was done too jewelryly and professionally ... -and ... and ... and ... and ineffective ... -And give the Americans the effects and a demonstration of American power ...
    - Therefore, Trump needs to act more clumsily and brutally ...- mass bombing, tomahawks, torpedoing of the ships of the Iranian navy, etc., etc ... -that then all the stagnant America will exalt him to heaven ... - Even despite the losses among the Americans ...- the winners are not judged ...
    - And so ... - elimination of the Sulejmani rocket (they would have presented him with a poisoned sherbet) ... -this is all for the American public ... -the whole zilch ...

    - Do not get reliable glory until the blood has spilled ...

    - It’s not I personally ... - such a bloodthirsty (personally, I don’t want it at all, I don’t want people to die) ... - it’s just a dirty and vile paraphernalia of foreign policy ...
    - In the meantime, Trump has never once demonstrated in action the military power of the United States ...
    - Maybe this time will not take place ...
  5. filippino lippi Offline
    filippino lippi (filippino lippi) 8 January 2020 17: 35
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    Let's see what the decrepit "HEGEMON" is capable of! The time has come for RUSSIA, CHINA, INDIA, IRAN, TURKEY, to completely destroy the USA! THEN NATO! BECAUSE Catching, all over the WORLD, RUNNING OUT, UNDERGROUND BODIES! "WOLF HUNT" WILL BEGIN! "SAFARI"!
    1. Arkharov Offline
      Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 8 January 2020 18: 41
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      filippino lippi
      Still Venezuela and Somalia would be dragged there. And India and Turkey will also destroy the "hegemon"? In a single fit? And what did the DPRK forget, how without it in this matter? What you wrote reminds me of an excerpt from a classic work, maybe remember if you studied at school:

      Sometimes, looking from the porch to the courtyard and to the pond, he would say how good it would be if, suddenly, from the house to draw an underground passage or through the pond to build a stone bridge on which there would be on both sides of the bench, and that they sat the merchants also sold various small goods necessary for the peasants, "while his eyes were extremely sweet and his face took on the most satisfied expression, however, all these projects ended in just one word ...

      N. V. Gogol, “Dead Souls,” part 1, ch. 2 (1842).
      1. isofat Offline
        isofat (Sergei) 8 January 2020 19: 01
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        Arkharov, you do not understand. The challenge is not to defeat the United States. It is necessary that the "big cabinet" in the fall did not crush anyone and, if possible, did not rumble much. The fall of the United States can not stop!
        1. Arkharov Offline
          Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 8 January 2020 19: 12
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          isofat
          Those who have nothing to say are clucking ...
          1. isofat Offline
            isofat (Sergei) 8 January 2020 19: 37
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            Arkharov
            The US is trying to get out of the crisis in a proven way (on someone else's misfortune). They were able to rise into the First World War, and climbed out of the Great Depression into the Second World War ... Now and now, they will set fire there, then in another place. The most important thing for them is to kindle a fire, and they have learned to make a profit from it.
            They fall, fall. Do not doubt!
            PS This does not mean that we will sit back.
            1. Arkharov Offline
              Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 8 January 2020 21: 01
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              isofat
              Who are you? In the Iranian highlands partisan? With the name of Ayatollah on chilling lips in the last attack? Or will you lead from the combat sofa?
      2. 123 Offline
        123 (123) 9 January 2020 02: 20
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        I sympathize with you, yes also somehow from the principle of "Dead Souls" I read from cover to cover ..... for the first time I see why this work may come in handy winked (I mean - in practice).
        1. Arkharov Offline
          Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 9 January 2020 08: 22
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          123 But nothing has changed for centuries, and now it’s most relevant.
    2. Arkharov Offline
      Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 8 January 2020 21: 13
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      filippino lippi
      And yet, you can inquire, you have caps lock stuck?
  6. The comment was deleted.
    1. Arkharov Offline
      Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 8 January 2020 21: 06
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      aloyanovik
      Enough for you, here every 2nd commentator has his own recipe for greatness, although, unfortunately, it’s not masculine.