Why Russia should support Turkey in the fight against Israeli gas


So, Gazprom has officially formulated yet another problem. The EastMed pipeline, a joint project of Israel, Greece, Cyprus and Egypt, will soon appear on the southern European gas market. Interestingly, barely appearing on paper, this gas pipeline became the reason for the indirect war of Turkey with these countries in Libya. For whom to “root” in this context of Russia?


EastMed can rightfully be considered a symbol of change. More recently, Israel, which was believed to be practically deprived of its hydrocarbon reserves, depended critically on oil and gas imports. At the same time, they were expensive for Tel Aviv, since the neighboring Arab countries posed all kinds of obstacles for the Jewish state.

Everything changed in the XNUMXs, when the countries of the eastern Mediterranean began exploration of the Levantine oil and gas shelf.
And then generous gifts finally fell on the promised land. In 2009, the Tamar gas field was estimated, estimated at 307 billion cubic meters, and in 2010, the Leviathan with 453 billion cubic meters of gas (according to some reports, the volume of undiscovered gas reserves on the shelf can be more than 3 trillion cubic meters). Lucky and neighbors in the region. Egypt discovered the Zohr field - 453 billion cubic meters, and island Cyprus - Aphrodite with 170 billion, respectively. If you rephrase the classics, for Europe it is too little, for these countries it is too much. The richest European gas market is literally under the nose, there is no superfluous currency, and therefore the plan for the construction of the EastMed offshore pipeline has matured.

The pipeline will connect the Eastern Mediterranean with Southern Europe, its throughput will be relatively modest 10 billion cubic meters per year. The length is impressive - 1900 kilometers, and it will lie at very great depths, which will complicate the construction and increase its cost. It is estimated in the range of 7 to 10 billion dollars. It would seem very expensive, but not so much gas will come. But let's say frankly that EastMed is not so much about the economyhow much about policies. The project is supported by both the European Union and the USA. It is very significant that the European authorities removed the pipeline from the restrictions that were imposed on the Russian Nord Stream-2, which says a lot.

For Gazprom, this means the emergence of another competitor in the southern European market, where the TAP-TANAP project is already opposing its “Turkish stream”, there is Algerian gas and LNG. Shining loss of market share. How serious this is is indicated by the behavior of Ankara, which unexpectedly became a situational ally of Moscow.

Turkey, with extreme displeasure, is observing how the neighbors divided the oil and gas shelf of the Mediterranean Sea without regard to its interests. As you know, in Cyprus there is a partially recognized Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus. The UN TRNC did not recognize, but Ankara actively uses the Turkish enclave to advance its interests in the Mediterranean and disputes the unilateral claims of the Greek part of the island to gas fields. So, two years ago, the Turkish Navy drove off the drilling vessel Saipem 12000 of the Italian company Eni from Aphrodite, and last year the Turks themselves began test drilling on their part of the Cyprus shelf.

In addition to claims for hydrocarbon resources, Ankara is opposed to EastMed, which represents the competition in southern Europe with TAP-TANAP and Turkish Stream. The seriousness of her intentions to defend her interests is evidenced by the decision of President Erdogan to send troops to Libya to support official Tripoli, where Egypt is his indirect opponents, to a lesser extent Greece and the Greek part of Cyprus.

Taken together, it all smacks of serious conflict in the eastern Mediterranean. Since the interests of Moscow and Ankara to the gas market in Southern Europe coincide, it may be wiser not to put obstacles in the way of the Turks, having found a compromise with them in Libya, where Russian mercenaries are now seen on the side of Field Marshal Haftar.
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  1. steelmaker Offline steelmaker
    steelmaker 7 January 2020 14: 07
    +3
    As long as gas tariffs are not reduced, all these pipelines are built to strangle the people of Russia. And I don’t want to be glad that Miller has a salary of 1 million, and will be 2 million a day.
    1. arkasha2805 Offline arkasha2805
      arkasha2805 (Sergei) 8 January 2020 21: 55
      0
      And where is the voice of the people of Russia? No one is heard, as always !!!
  2. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 7 January 2020 19: 11
    +2
    This pipe is rather political speculation. There are too many reasons for her not to survive.
    - Israeli business has its own views on this gas. They plan to bring it to Israel, provide regional gas needs and build the same complex of enterprises that the Russian Federation is building on its territory around the Power of Siberia. That is, to increase GDP due to products of higher processing and create new jobs. We can wish them good luck. She will not hinder them very much; such enterprises are an excellent target for terrorist attacks. What kind of distances are there? Everything is so small, everything is so close, even the Iskanders are not needed. And, as it turned out, the Iron Dome does not hold massive attacks of the self-made Grads.
    - The depths along the EastMed track are not just great. They are more than 3 m. Experts say that so far no one knows how to lay pipes at such depths.
    - If we talk about the highway, then putting it as beautifully as on the map (directly from Cyprus to Crete) does not work. Turkey will not.

    http://realtribune.ru/news/news/3372?utm_source=finobzor.ru

    The second picture of this post shows the borders of the Turkish shelf. Past him in 1900 km can not keep within. Yes, and to go south - this is through the shelf of Libya. And who is there to ask permission? You will receive from one warring party - the other pipe layer will drown. There will be good (and, most importantly, very modest) people who will pay well for this. And there will be no one to ask. And Turkey didn’t climb into this war at all Libya with Russia or with anyone else to share, but just this gas pipeline to nightmare.
    - Turkey liked the role of the hub and she would not mind letting this pipe through its territory. But for this you need to go through the territory of Syria. And there are Russians ... The problem. Not for that, the Russians came there, so that anyone who gets there laid pipes.
    And is Israel capable of covering 2000 km of pipe into the sea. After another muck, a purely peaceful and very scientific vessel (which causes the USA the strongest cognitive dissonance) will sail to our address on the way to the shores of, say, Venezuela. And in a week the pipe will explode for some reason. You never know what happens at such depths ... But Europe will not remain without gas. There will be caring people.
    And the price of the issue is just a maximum of 5% of Gazprom’s exports to Europe.
  3. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 7 January 2020 23: 41
    +1
    For Gazprom, this means the emergence of another competitor in the southern European market, where the TAP-TANAP project is already opposing its “Turkish stream”, there is Algerian gas and LNG. Shining loss of market share. How serious this is is indicated by the behavior of Ankara, which unexpectedly became a situational ally of Moscow.

    TAP-TANAP opposes Gazprom badly. The Shah-Denikh - 2 deposit was overrated. Turkmenistan does not have excess gas, everything goes to China and the Russian Federation (deliveries to the Russian Federation resumed in the spring of 2019). Therefore, TAP-TANAP has nothing to fill up to its design capacity. In recent years, Azerbaijan has started purchasing gas from Russia again in order to fulfill the signed contracts. So quietly through this pipe is also Russian gas. Now talk of expanding its share speaks more clearly.
    And only in the last week, Ukrainians began to realize that their main competitor was just Turkey, with its own hub. And not SP1 and SP2, which drive gas to Germany. Gas through the UGTS somehow went from Austria and to the south. And they didn’t talk about it loudly, so that the same BP could observe its face and deliver the agreed volumes of gas to Italy. This is one of the reasons for baiting SP2. Now the gas pipeline is open and enlightenment has begun in the Ukrainian media in the brain, they ask questions: why didn’t they try to stop TP, TAP-TANAP, if they are a competitor, just them? But it's' too late.
    And Turkey since 2016 is no longer a situational ally. She is tied to the Russian Federation seriously and for a long time. There will be some attempts to pull the covers over, but strategically this does not change anything.
  4. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 8 January 2020 08: 04
    -1
    Quote: boriz
    And Turkey since 2016 is no longer a situational ally. She is tied to the Russian Federation seriously and for a long time.

    You don’t confuse anything, who is attached to whom?
    1. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 8 January 2020 13: 27
      +1
      About the coup attempt in 2016. and future currency zones did not hear anything?
      1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
        A.Lex (Secret information) 9 January 2020 10: 00
        +2
        Boris, this, of course, is all wonderful (about the coup), BUT ... Turkey will NEVER refuse to spoil Russia with a momentary desire to earn points before the game. After all, everything is very simple - where is Russia, and where are the Yankees (they have at their side). And historically, the Ottomans have always been opponents of the Russians. So ... you don’t need to idealize them - you will need - they will shit us and bend under the Yankees, but you will need them - they will bend under us ... This is world politics, and in it only Russia is trying to play by the rules (because we just have a different There is no way out, there is not enough strength ... although there is enough strength to kill everything living on the territory of the ENEMY ... and everyone in the world understands this ... including the Turks and the Americans).
        1. boriz Offline boriz
          boriz (boriz) 9 January 2020 17: 48
          +3
          In the near future, the world will be divided into currency zones. Turkey will be in our zone and it will certainly not be the main one there. All the blasts of some neighboring countries (from Belarus to Japan) are attempts to rip off more nishtyaks before entering the zone. Although everyone (except, it seems, Ukraine) understood what was going on, some elites are simply shocked by what is coming, they don’t understand what to do, they don’t have the power to adequately perceive and accept.
          Let me remind you of the statement of Merkel, somewhere in June last year, that the main task of Germany in the near future is to catch up with the leading powers: Russia, the USA, and China.
          Hence, Brexit, attempts to create New Jerusalem in the south of Ukraine (torn down by Putin in 2014), and much more.
    2. arkasha2805 Offline arkasha2805
      arkasha2805 (Sergei) 8 January 2020 21: 57
      0
      There is and will be full-fledged mutually beneficial cooperation for many years !!!
  5. Marzhecki Offline Marzhecki
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 8 January 2020 08: 05
    +1
    Quote: boriz
    After another muck, a purely peaceful and very scientific ship (which causes the USA the strongest cognitive dissonance) will sail to our address on the way to the shores of, say, Venezuela. And in a week, the pipe will explode for some reason ...

    It’s ridiculous. On the example of Suleimani, look at how the United States acts with those who are declared international terrorists .... But the Israelis generally have a short conversation.
    By the way, also someone else can swim past the SP-2 and TP. Well it works both ways.
    1. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 8 January 2020 13: 31
      +1
      In order for someone to come to us, you need:
      - so that we would do something disgusting to someone (i.e. a reason is needed).
      - I believe in the possibility of Mossad. But on land. This technique is only with us and the United States, perhaps. But time is already passing when the United States will agree to fit in with Israel, even if there is a reason.
    2. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 8 January 2020 13: 36
      0
      As for Suleimani, it is unlikely that the United States did so. More likely, Trump was framed and he is trying to get out with minimal loss of face.
      They killed an American general. So what?
      At the same time, the Pentagon chief of staff gathered for the exit. "A coincidence? I don't think so."
  6. Alexzn Online Alexzn
    Alexzn (Alexander) 8 January 2020 10: 57
    0
    Why should Russia support Turkey in the fight against Israeli gas.

    A good headline, but it’s not clear what to support and how. And what is the fight against Israeli gas? Turkey proposed a joint project to Israel, and what if they agree? Whom to support? To oppose?
    1. arkasha2805 Offline arkasha2805
      arkasha2805 (Sergei) 8 January 2020 21: 58
      0
      Russia does not need competitors !!!
  7. molotkov60mkpu Offline molotkov60mkpu
    molotkov60mkpu (Yuri) 8 January 2020 21: 50
    +1
    We have one problem - we did not carry out reindustrialization in time, and, apparently, we are not going to.
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