Russian gas transit through Ukraine has fallen since the new year

Data on the volumes of Russian gas transit through Ukraine on the first day of 2020 showed a five-fold drop in comparison with the December average, when pumping was still under the old contract.

As the RIA News" referring to the Operator of the GTS of Ukraine, if the average December indicator for transit volume was 261 million cubic meters, then in the first days of January this indicator fell to record low numbers: on January 1, only 49,3 million cubic meters of gas were pumped, and 2 January transit volumes fell to 38,8 million cubic meters.

At the same time, the Ukrainian operator announces the fulfillment of all Gazprom's requests for the transportation of “blue fuel” to the countries of the European Union and Moldova.

Presumably, the drop in volumes may be due to the unprecedentedly warm winter and the fact that amid the protracted negotiations between Russia and Ukraine last year on gas transit, the Europeans were reinsured and filled their storage facilities beyond normal volumes.

Be that as it may, there is no doubt that within the year the entire volume of Russian gas stipulated by the new agreement will be pumped through the Ukrainian gas transmission system, since Gazprom is unlikely to want to face Ukrainian lawsuits in European arbitrations for the second time.

In particular, taking into account the obviously anti-Russian position of these arbitrations, the result of which are decisions on billions of dollars in compensation in favor of Ukraine.
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  1. bratchanin3 Offline bratchanin3
    bratchanin3 (Gennady) 4 January 2020 13: 19
    Does Russia need biased arbitration? Why in the treaties do not harmonize courts, for example, Chinese or Syrian?
    1. boriz Offline boriz
      boriz (boriz) 5 January 2020 01: 25
      I don’t know how in the old gas transit agreement, but in the new (a month ago signed) oil transit agreement (signed with the same Naftogaz) the Singapore arbitration is already mentioned. What arbitration in the new gas contract is not yet known. But, most likely, the Stockholm arbitration, after its insane decisions, will remain without work. Not a single entrepreneur (in his right mind and sober memory) will allow these poor people to be included in the contract.
    2. Arkharov Offline Arkharov
      Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 5 January 2020 09: 50
      Is Iranian better? Or take it, and North Korean?
      1. S.V.YU Offline S.V.YU
        S.V.YU 5 January 2020 10: 55
        No need to jerk.
        1. The comment was deleted.
    3. commbatant Offline commbatant
      commbatant (Sergei) 5 January 2020 21: 51
      Quote: bratchanin3
      Why in the treaties do not harmonize courts, for example, Chinese or Syrian?

      You can Iranian, according to Sharia ...
      "Orphans" themselves have the right to decide where litigation under the gas contract will be considered ...
  2. boriz Offline boriz
    boriz (boriz) 5 January 2020 01: 45
    I already wrote in the comments that the signing of a transit agreement does not mean a 100% guarantee of transit from 01.01.2020/XNUMX/XNUMX.
    There are applications - there is transit, there are no applications - there is no transit. Due to the warm (so far) winter and the maximum filling of underground gas storages, gas prices in Europe have fallen, gas reserves are record high. Therefore, no one will pump gas at a loss.
    In Ukraine, it is reported that some sections of the UGTS are now working on a reverse (real), pump gas from their underground gas storage facilities from west to east, which costs money. And this they do at their own expense. Since the UGTS fulfills its second function, as part of the UGRS (distribution network). With a high and stable volume of transit, the pressure in the network was maintained by our compressor stations, and internal networks simply sorted the gas along its route to the west. Now Lafa is over. And this will further reduce transit revenues. And at current transit tariffs, the payback border of the UGTS (with a uniform load) is about 42 billion cubic meters per year. And with uneven this figure rises due to the periodic connection of the UGTS for internal pumping. In what it will pour out to Ukraine - only practice will show. European operators will not bother about the uniform loading of UGTS, nothing personal, just business, and they already got everyone.
    Now more or less uniform pumping will be maintained only in the direction of Transnistria - Moldova, which the Russian Federation will not throw. Even Moldova has recently changed the vector to Russia. And Ukraine-by the residual principle. And this will not even be determined by Gazprom. Gazprom will simply fulfill the requests of European operators for pumping. Again - business, nothing but.
    1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
      A.Lex (Secret information) 5 January 2020 21: 06
      Fight, maybe I misunderstand something, but explain to me:
      for pumping gas to the west, compressor stations are used, which create pressure. So? If this is so, how can the gas be driven in the pipe BACKWARD (i.e. from west to east) when the pressure is COUNTER? Or "reverse" is a fake, or one of two things ...
      1. commbatant Offline commbatant
        commbatant (Sergei) 5 January 2020 22: 03
        Quote: A.Lex
        "reverse" is a fake, or one of two things ...

        Fake. Great Ukrainians take the delivered gas from their GTX and pay for it to the buyer who received it short (Poles, Slovaks, etc., with their consent, of course) and call it reverse ... another way, more expensive is to buy from Poland ( from its already GC) previously supplied Russian gas ...
      2. boriz Offline boriz
        boriz (boriz) 6 January 2020 01: 36
        First, the transfer to the west is stopped. Then, they either turn on other compressors pumping to the east (and the former are blocked by valves), or one compressor, but it is tied with bypasses so that different combinations of turning on and off the valves can direct the gas flow in the right direction. But in the case of Ukraine (before) it was a fake. It is impossible to pump gas on one pipe in both directions, and, of course, no one built a parallel pipe system.
        The non-brothers laid a very short pipe across the border with Slovakia, which pumped gas to the east, but immediately, after several kilometers, returned gas to the GTS and the gas was again sent to Slovakia. But gas was actually taken along the entire length of the GTS during transit (in Kharkov, Zaporizhia, etc.). Such an easy and understandable swindle. But now, when the pumping is unstable, you have to really turn on the reverse over the entire length. And this is not cheap. Gas is pumped with a turbine drive, like a plane. They are powered by the same gas that costs money. Under the USSR, when there was a large aviation fleet, aircraft engines that exited the resource were put on pumping. Pumping loads are less and the engines have worked for a long time. Now aviation has become smaller, and the GTS has grown significantly. Therefore, special turbines are used. Pumps are also turbines, but of a different type.
        1. A.Lex Offline A.Lex
          A.Lex (Secret information) 7 January 2020 12: 20
          Boris, this is all clear ... But the question remains - WHERE DOES THE PRESSURE FROM RUSSIA GO ??? After shutting off the SUPPLY FROM RUSSIA with the valve, they thereby did NOT stop the pressure build-up ... What happens to the moment when the valve was shut off, but the pressure is still being built up? That's right - there is a breakthrough in the network! Or emergency stop of the COP. Are you generally familiar with the operation of these units? Are you aware that the emergency stop of the KS is an emergency that costs significant money? Therefore, there is NO REVERSE in nature (and, moreover, no "bypass" of the counter pressure of the main pipe will hold). Outright theft is taking place at the expense of Gazprom and European consumers. That's all.
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