Has Gazprom waved a hand over the heating season in Europe?

Washington and Kiev have achieved their goal: January 1, 2020, Russian gas will not go around Ukraine. Does this mean that we can talk about the complete defeat of Gazprom?




Initially, the task of the domestic monopolist was to build two alternative routes to the Ukrainian GTS before the end of the year, when the transit agreement expires, in order to keep up with the heating season. However, the opposition to Russian projects, obviously, broke all deadlines.

Media reports that the Turkish Stream is almost complete. The pipeline will have to pump up to 31,5 billion cubic meters of gas. However, for some reason, it is not specified that we are talking about the line of the pipeline that is intended for the domestic market of Turkey. The second, called the Balkan Stream, will work at best in 2021. It is through it that transit will go directly to Europe. In addition, Naftogaz Ukrainy made trouble for the Turkish Stream construction contractor, South Stream Transport BV, by seeking the arrest of its shares through a court. There is no doubt that the builders of the transit line will also face problems.

The “Danish epic” continues at the “Nord Stream-2”. Copenhagen never issued permission for any of Gazprom’s three applications. By itself, laying a pipeline in Danish waters will take no more than 4-5 weeks. The Russian side threatens the Danes with a court because of the obvious politicization of their position: recently, they calmly and without delay allowed the construction of the Norwegian-Polish Baltic Pipe gas pipeline. But we have things there too.

Why does Gazprom not take measures to lay a pipeline bypassing Denmark, in neutral waters? Well-known Russian expert in the field of energy Igor Yushkov admits that the company's management has already “waved a hand” for the next heating season in Europe:

Previously, there was a hope that we would complete the offshore part of the gas pipeline and supply at least some of the volumes through it. But now the situation is such that the Europeans did not build the EUGAL gas pipeline - a continuation of Nord Stream-2 in Germany and Austria.


That is, even a miracle happened, and Denmark issues a permit today, and in 4-5 weeks the offshore part of the pipeline is completed, commissioning is carried out, there is simply nothing to connect to it on the shore. This means only one thing: on January 1 of next year, Nord Stream-2 will definitely not start working.

Objectively, the winter heating season of 2019-2020 in Europe passes by Nord Stream-2 and Turkish Stream. If so, then why make an extra fuss by laying a pipeline to bypass Denmark?

Now the new deadline for Gazprom is July 2020. Then European consumers will again begin to pump gas reserves into their storage facilities for the next heating season, in which bypass pipelines will be able to take part. But the coming winter will be "fun."
Photos used: https://www.lrt.lt
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  1. Arkharov Offline
    Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 29 October 2019 10: 40
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    Will Europe freeze, or will it solve its problems differently? What about Gazprom? Another big geopolitical victory, or what?
    1. Nick Offline
      Nick (Nikolai) 29 October 2019 13: 00
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      Quote: Arkharov
      Will Europe freeze, or will it solve its problems differently?

      Europe will simply put on another sweater before bed and that’s it. There is nothing to replace Gazprom supplies in full in Western Europe. You can, of course, buy liquefied gas, but it is more expensive, and its volume is insufficient to replace Russian pipe.
      1. Arkharov Offline
        Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 29 October 2019 13: 19
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        Maybe, but this is the first time I see such excitement in our official propaganda. It seems that court cases are not very good there either. Probably not so simple?
        1. Nick Offline
          Nick (Nikolai) 29 October 2019 13: 28
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          Quote: Arkharov
          Maybe, but this is the first time I see such excitement in our official propaganda. Probably not so simple?

          If the sales volume falls, for any reason, it is always unpleasant, because profit falls too. For state. There is nothing critical in the budget. He is already surplus. Well, less than a couple of yards of euros this year - get it next.
          1. lev1759 Offline
            lev1759 (Eugene) 29 October 2019 22: 17
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            Well, less than a couple of yards of euros this year - get it next.

            You can not worry about it. In December, the Power of Siberia will be launched. What will be received from Caucasians - we will receive from the Chinese.
    2. topograf Offline
      topograf (topograf) 30 October 2019 06: 13
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      That's it - or how !!! To believe everything written on the Internet is not to respect yourself! Therefore, until the thunder struck - nefig baptized! The next meeting on this issue (gas transit) will take place at the end of November, and we need to wait for official clarifications from Gazprom on this topic.
  2. kriten Offline
    kriten (Vladimir) 29 October 2019 13: 46
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    If money is more important for Europe for Ukraine than transit without it, then let the winter do without transit ...
  3. gorenina91 Offline
    gorenina91 (Irina) 29 October 2019 14: 45
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    Has Gazprom waved a hand over the heating season in Europe?

    - Ah .. what "unexpected news" ... -Personally, in the subject "Denmark issued a permit for the construction of a rival of Nord Stream-2" already wrote

    Late, Denmark .., too late ... -North Stream-2 already ... passed away ...

  4. Potapov Offline
    Potapov (Valery) 29 October 2019 15: 25
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    They don’t need, but the Russian people need it. Are frozen. Well, to hell with them ...
    1. Arkharov Offline
      Arkharov (Grigory Arkharov) 29 October 2019 16: 06
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      No one will freeze.
  5. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 29 October 2019 16: 33
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    Quote: Arkharov
    Maybe, but this is the first time I see such excitement in our official propaganda. It seems that court cases are not very good there either. Probably not so simple?

    You are a funny and naive person if you think the Reporter is official propaganda. laughing
  6. steelmaker Offline
    steelmaker 29 October 2019 16: 41
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    Gazprom is led by stupid, dishonest creatures. What did they agree on there? They are building on the sea, but on the ground "the horse did not roll." And were they planning to pump gas through Ukraine without an agreement? How much money is down the drain. Why think? Homeland does not get poorer !?
  7. Victor N Offline
    Victor N (Victor n) 29 October 2019 17: 40
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    If we proceed from the fact that Gazprom is both stupid and traitors - then YES, it’s nice to consider yourself the smartest .... What if Plan B, Plan B, and Plan B aren’t quite right. E "?
  8. 123 Online
    123 (123) 29 October 2019 18: 26
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    That is, even a miracle happened, and Denmark issues a permit today, and in 4-5 weeks the offshore part of the pipeline is completed, commissioning is carried out, there is simply nothing to connect to it on the shore.

    Is it really so?

    “The Eugal project, the construction of the first line of the Eugal gas pipeline, which is a continuation of Nord Stream-2 in Germany, will be completed at the end of 2019 and the first gas deliveries are possible from 2020. This is stated in the response of GASCADE Gastransport GmbH spokesman Georg Wustner to EADaily's request.
    “The Eugal project is on schedule,” said Georg Wustner. The letter says that the first string with a length of 480 kilometers and a capacity of 30,9 billion cubic meters per year is fully welded and laid in trenches. 16 kilometers are left to completely fill the trenches.

    https://eadaily.com/ru/news/2019/10/18/eugal-prodolzhenie

    Do you think they won’t have time before the new year? There is reason to doubt the competence of German builders?
    1. Marzhecki Offline
      Marzhecki (Sergei) 30 October 2019 12: 48
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      First, add a couple more months to commissioning. And there the heating season will end.
      Secondly, German builders themselves may fall into American sanctions or other troubles.
      1. 123 Online
        123 (123) 30 October 2019 19: 26
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        First, add a couple more months to commissioning.

        Will the marine part be launched right away? There are no commissioning? request

        And there the heating season will end.

        The heating season does not end on March XNUMXst. sad

        Gazprom’s new deadline is July 2020

        Four months will be inflated balls and decorate the podium? belay

        Secondly, German builders themselves may fall into American sanctions or other troubles.

        Or they may not get it. smile It's like a blonde chance to meet a dinosaur. May meet, but may not. 50/50.
        That’s the kind of analytics we get - incomprehensible, unreasonable deadlines, assumptions and assumptions. repeat
      2. 123 Online
        123 (123) 30 October 2019 19: 43
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        Here information was posted on the site. Denmark "gave the go-ahead", it remains to finish building 147 km.

        Alexey Miller assured that the laying of the pipeline in Danish waters will take no more than 5 weeks.

        So, I don’t see real reasons to talk about summer.
  9. boriz Offline
    boriz (boriz) 30 October 2019 00: 34
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    Maybe they just decided to replace Ukraine and the EU? Existing pipes will be maximized, LNG will be driven from Yamal. Losses, to some extent, are compensated by the Power of Siberia. And the remaining losses are uncritical: the budget is in surplus, the surplus goes to the IMF, and so they get killed there.
    And Ukraine, in a chill, is dry. You can then, on shares with the EU, buy the ruins of ukroGTS (although it is easier to build one new one for sending to Slovakia and Moldova, the rest will not be needed in a year). And then the EU will not be so eager to hold on to the letter of the law.
    But there can be no complaints against Gazprom (taking into account the third energy package). Novak and Miller will quietly laugh at the geyropeytsami and those who joined them ...
  10. Screw Offline
    Screw (Gennady) 30 October 2019 05: 14
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    Through Norway, Russian gas will go according to the third package of the EU EC. The Polish pipe goes ashore near the German one, about 5 km, the effect is obvious. And it was not necessary to commit jur. "crossbow". And since we are close, it is obvious who will benefit. “Double strike” with “X-ray” for Americans - nothing personal - geopolitical chess. In addition to Reshevsky, there is not a single Pole in chess, including Brzezinski. Genetics, sir!