Why Ukrainian transit of Russian gas is inevitable

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Recently we Reportedas Russia called the final condition for partnership with Ukraine on gas. And so, the deputy head of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) Dmitry Sologub said at a briefing on the inevitability of gas transit from Russia through the gas transmission system (GTS) of Ukraine.



Sologub is confident that, given contractual obligations, Russian Gazprom will have to use transit through Ukrainian territory. However, he forgot to clarify that on December 31, 2019, a 10-year transit agreement between Ukraine and Russia is ending. Moreover, Kiev absolutely does nothing to extend it. Moreover, it intimidates Moscow in many ways with multibillion-dollar lawsuits, which further reduces the likelihood of a constructive dialogue.

Moreover, according to Sologub, in addition to Gazprom contracts, Ukraine in its forecasts takes into account the volume of gas in its underground storage facilities (UGS), as well as the commissioning of gas pipelines bypassing Ukrainian territory. A senior official believes that in order to fulfill its obligations, Gazprom will certainly need Ukraine. Moreover, "at least", at 50 billion cubic meters. m. gas per year.

However, Sologub nevertheless admitted the likelihood of a “temporary” termination of gas transit from Russia through the territory of Ukraine. At the same time, however, without specifying how long the “temporality” will last. But he added that NAK Naftogaz Ukrainy and Ukrtransgaz are actively preparing for this particular scenario.

We remind you that on October 22, 2019, Russia, Ukraine and the European Union held regular technical consultations as part of the preparation of a new phase of gas transit negotiations after January 1, 2020. Then it was promised that negotiations would take place on October 28, 2019. So we will be waiting for results with undisguised interest.
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  1. 0
    26 October 2019 16: 09
    There can only be one reason: the Kremlin’s desire to continue to feed the Nazi state, turning into a fascist state.
    1. 0
      26 October 2019 17: 17
      It’s so good that you are only blaming the Kremlin, not the whole of Moscow or Russia!
  2. 0
    26 October 2019 20: 16
    I sometimes bet on sports events at the bookmaker. I wonder if there will be a bet on closing or not closing the valve 1.01.20.? If our government defended the interests of Russia, then Bandera would have been economically strangled.
    1. +2
      27 October 2019 21: 51
      Oil painting. The government, defending the interests of Russia, disconnects from January 1, 2020 gas transit through Ukraine. I remind you that the share of Russian gas makes up more than 30% of all gas consumed by the EU countries; I recall that gas supplies are cut off not in May, not June, but in January. I remind you, up to 40% of the fin. revenue in the country's budget is the sale of oil and gas. For such a defense of Russia's interests, the US Congress will award the entire Government of the Russian Federation with Honor medals (the highest award).
  3. +2
    28 October 2019 13: 53
    Trade is a voluntary matter and the Russian Federation is not obliged to trade with Ukraine ... The Ukrainian pipe has been killed, it needs major repairs, and there is no bad thing to repair it on the terms of Ukraine ... So transit through Ukraine will naturally end soon ...