Minsk: In 5 years Russia will owe us 11 billions of dollars

21
Until the end of 2019, there is very little left, and in Minsk, with a meaningful look, they calculate with a calculator how much Russia owes Belarus money. It turns out that over the current year the loss of the Belarusian budget due to Moscow’s actions amounted to $ 800 million. In the next year, 2020, another 400 million will be added to them. In total, by 2024, our country will “owe” the Republic of Belarus, according to the most immodest estimates, $ 11 billion. In any case, Minsk is unshakably convinced of this.





And yet, who should whom and what really should?

The reason is the so-called “tax maneuver” that Russia will conduct in the next six years. After zeroing the export duty, Belarus will lose all its seemingly inalienable preferences as an ally for the purchase of Russian oil at significant discounts. All these years, only part of it went to domestic consumption, the rest was processed at refineries and sold for export. It turned out to be a very profitable, reliable and respectable business.

And now this fairy tale is coming to an end. The master of trade and intrigue, President Lukashenko, demanded from Russia some compensation for Belarus because of the “tax maneuver”, but quite unexpectedly ran into a blank wall. It got to the point that Alexander Grigoryevich promised to switch to American and Azerbaijani oil, and even subtly threatened Moscow with Ukrainian missiles. So far, all to no avail.

Obviously, this whole situation needs to be viewed through the prism of mutual obligations of Russia and Belarus to each other within the framework of the Union State. It must be recalled that the agreement on its creation was signed back in 1999, and long ago, we had to have a single legislation, a single citizenship, a single governing body, a single currency in the absence of a border, a single bicameral parliament elected by the population of both countries , and much more.

From the above checkmark, you can put only opposite the paragraph on the border, which was already de facto removed when creating the Customs Union. Today Minsk distorts even the proposal to deploy a military air base of the Russian Air Force on its territory. Instead, President Lukashenko offers a joint missile program to Kiev, which considers Moscow an “aggressor.”

Can this behavior be considered allied? Not. Is there really a Union State of Russia and Belarus? Probably not.

Therefore, do not be surprised that in the end, Minsk is faced with a choice with whom it is. “Tax maneuver” is an ordinary tool of economic pressure. Unpleasant, but where to go? The claims of the Belarusian authorities about certain compensations are absolutely absurd. Since we are neither de jure nor de facto a single state, this is our internal affair. That which suffers from it economy sovereign Belarus, is its own sovereign difficulties.

If Minsk wants its problems to be the problems of Russia, then it must fulfill its part of the obligations for real integration within the Union State. As the saying goes, "morning integration, evening compensation." Well, how else?
21 comment
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  1. -12
    12 October 2019 12: 58
    I would agree if Russia spoke the same way with Ukraine and China. I looked at commodity circulation with Russophobic Ukraine, and why should Lukashenka not make a claim? Well, in the direction of China, Russia is generally afraid to breathe. Therefore, Lukashenko is right - they don’t do that with the allies!
    1. +10
      12 October 2019 14: 34
      In 2018, trade between Russia and Belarus was $ 35,5 billion (a surplus of $ 9 billion in favor of Russia). Trade turnover with Ukraine in 2018 was $ 8,09 billion (a surplus of 4,44 billion in favor of Russia). This is despite the fact that there are almost four times more inhabitants in Ukraine. And how do we offend Belarus? Moreover, the trade turnover between Ukraine and Belarus over the past three years has been steadily growing by 16-20% per year and in 2019 will amount to $ 8 billion. Is Lukashenko an ally of Russia? It stigmatizes the "annexation of Crimea", does not recognize Ossetia, Abkhazia, the "Immortal regiment", St. George's ribbon is banned, do not stutter about the airbase. Who is doing this? And the one who is ready to cross to the other side at any second -

      I am non-partisan, enlisted in the Komsomol and the collective farm by force, did not subscribe to government loans, did not read Soviet newspapers ....
    2. +7
      12 October 2019 19: 49
      What are you talking about? What us, Russia, Lukashenko ally? The enemy - definitely!
      And rightly Sergey Marzhetsky writes, although I often criticize him.
      Over the past six months, Lukashenko has been struggling to bring Russia out of himself and appear as a sort of victim of aggression. Russia while! is silent.
      I think it's not difficult to provoke him to frankness, but it looks like the Kremlin is expecting December 8 .... "Union Treaty".
      After November 4, we’ll start to watch a sort of crescendo. Because Bandera Lukashenko has nowhere to go.
    3. 123
      +9
      13 October 2019 10: 36
      I would agree if Russia spoke the same way with Ukraine and China.

      Do we have a union state with Ukraine and China? sad

      ... why shouldn’t Lukashenka claim?
      belay
      And with what fright? stop Why should Russia compensate for something to another state? request

      Well, in the direction of China, Russia is generally afraid to breathe.

      Does China also require compensation for a tax maneuver from us?
    4. +5
      13 October 2019 16: 31
      ... they don’t do this to allies.

      So then - with the allies. Belarus - Lukashenko to us are not in any aspect.
  2. +11
    12 October 2019 14: 38
    It is strange that Russia owes everything. And who owes Russia, they are silent, and quietly, silently!
  3. +1
    12 October 2019 15: 05
    Bolivar cannot be demolished ...
  4. +9
    12 October 2019 17: 40
    A couple of months ago, Lukashenko said that Zelensky was a jester and a comedian, and here he changed his shoes for a moment, he was already a friend. And so he has everything, a vile, unprincipled man who has ruined his country.
    1. vmo
      +6
      13 October 2019 09: 30
      Lukashenko was and remains a valenok, imagines himself to be such a small emir, the roof went off of importance, but that doesn’t add any mind, the collective farm is a collective farm, it wants to be smarter than everyone, but nature has not been given what to do.
  5. +6
    12 October 2019 19: 24
    The impudent, baleen face will not crack by accident ?!
  6. +2
    12 October 2019 19: 30
    On the accounts, obviously the batteries were dead - Chinese !!!
  7. -6
    13 October 2019 07: 29
    - Russia itself, for no reason, voluntarily (under no pressure) suddenly took the basis of the vicious practice of writing off (forgiving) gigantic multi-billion-dollar debts to absolutely extraneous (and often ... even unfriendly) states ... And the whole world sees this ... sees and shakes on a mustache ...
    - And this world, in turn, is assimilating its own vicious practice ... - this is an obvious expectation of concessions; literally extorting all kinds of indulgences, bonuses and discounts when concluding international trade deals (which has already become the rule for India's behavior towards Russia); obligatory provision by Russia of solid loans for the purchase of Russian equipment (this is how we "trade" with Turkey); the obligatory purchase (to pay off part of the debt) goods that are unnecessary for Russia (palm oil and other rubbish); and also .... just non-payment of the debt, in anticipation of (and as time shows - the expectation is not in vain) that Russia will simply forgive this debt, which is happening today in Russia's "relations" with Kyrgyzstan and Armenia .. ... etc ... etc ...
    - Well ... all this "quite successfully" has been working against Russia for more than a dozen years ...
    - So Lukashenka also decided to "try his luck" and also play this "international game" ... - what if he burns out ... -Hahah ...
    -Now you can clearly imagine who will come to the place of Lukashenko ... -This will be the president (Belarusians will choose only one) who will be convinced that Russia must be demanded, demanded and demanded ... like that ...
    - But Russia shouldn't have behaved like that in the world "community" ...
    1. vmo
      +1
      13 October 2019 09: 32
      There is grain, but complete bullshit and stupidity.
    2. +3
      13 October 2019 16: 41
      Before you grieve, you would have bothered to study the structure of the Union's debts and the terms on which we "forgive" them, then you would see that Russia is not to blame for these losses.

      ... the provision by Russia of solid loans for the purchase of Russian equipment.

      This is a normal international practice. Money issued on related loans do not even leave the country and immediately go to our industry, while those who borrow will pay interest for a long time.

      ... goods unnecessary for Russia (palm oil and other rubbish.

      Which is sold there on the exchange.
    3. +3
      13 October 2019 21: 33
      Quote: gorenina91
      - But Russia shouldn't have behaved like that in the world "community" ...

      So we stop behaving like that ....
  8. 123
    +3
    13 October 2019 10: 49
    From the above checkmark, you can put only opposite the paragraph on the border, which was already de facto removed when creating the Customs Union.

    I'm afraid, and not everything is smooth here. A common border is only in words. Visas were canceled unilaterally, without approval. All Poles calmly come to Belarus who are on the list of people who are prohibited from entering the territory of the Union State. About Belarusian shrimp and not worth talking about.
  9. +8
    13 October 2019 10: 49
    The Russian Federation finances the budget of the Republic of Belarus by 2/XNUMX and this arrogant dare to scream that we owe him more ... It's time to stop feeding this independent parasite so that he understands who owes what to whom ...
  10. +5
    13 October 2019 17: 46
    Since the natural resources of Russia belong to the state, it is obliged to levy natural rents from their use and channel them to existing needs within the country. In cases specified by law, citizens have the right to use natural resources free of charge or on favorable terms. When selling for export, natural rent must be levied without fail, which means that selling gas and oil at domestic prices is categorically NOT possible! The existing practice was wrong, it must be stopped immediately!
  11. The comment was deleted.
  12. +3
    14 October 2019 05: 18
    On Planet Earth, only its own people have no complaints against Russia, it lives by May decrees, Nat. projects, development programs and spiritual bonds .....
    Doesn’t resemble anything ??? (Sunset era of the Kremlin elders). Kinship and the Brotherhood of the Slavic peoples Without the aroma of natural gas and oil lubrication is not supported ....
    Old Man Luka time to put in a stall.
    At the expense of taxpayers, the Russian Federation wants to support the whole state, be independent and sit with one ass on three chairs ..... There was another one like that, then "little green men" pulled him out and spent a long time in Rostov.
  13. +4
    14 October 2019 08: 30
    Actually, the tax maneuver is a polite economic question for Minsk "Are you still with us?" He does not tolerate ambiguity, therefore, a certain confusion is noticeable in the ranks of those accustomed to "neither yours, nor ours." Regarding the alleged losses and debts, this is an economic fantasy of a moderate degree of exuberance. Reparations for the Tatar-Mongol yoke and the genocide of dinosaurs are a topic. smile
  14. +1
    15 October 2019 14: 24
    Lukashenko provided a great opportunity to earn 11 billion in Russia in 5 years. To do this, you just want to have money and a reliable ally.