The hidden threat: why the Belarusian missile program is dangerous for Russia

The other day we told about the first meeting of presidents Zelensky and Lukashenko, which was held in Zhitomir. At it, the Belarusian leader was noted by a number of statements that have a clear anti-Russian orientation. Among them, the proposal of Alexander Grigoryevich to unite efforts with Ukraine on the creation of missiles was particularly prominent. Some readers reacted very frivolously to this message, saying, "evil tongues utter every language to the Old Man and Belarus." But everything can be much more serious than it seems.




Despite the fact that it is not the first decade of the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus that they have been in the Union State, a real unification has not happened. Both sides are to blame. Minsk wasn’t particularly anxious, and Moscow didn’t insist for many years. Everything changed when integration began to be considered in the Kremlin as one of the options for the “transit of power” of 2024.

Since then, relations with the Belarusian authorities, which are trying in every possible way to avoid unification, have only worsened in our country. While everything rests on political the flexibility and tough hand of President Lukashenko, but Minsk pretty quickly goes to the point of no return, after which another part of the Russian people can become our "brothers." What problems Moscow rakes then, you can understand now.

In theory, it was necessary to be wary for a long time. Not agreeing to receive from Russia an export modification of the Iskander-E OTRK with limited range, Minsk decided to have its own counterpart, choosing faraway China as a partner. So there was a Belarusian-Chinese MLRS Polonaise. Its eight missiles are capable of gulping to hit targets at a distance of 200 to 300 kilometers. We will talk more about the potential of Polonaise below.

In addition to the PRC, the Belarusian defense industry is very actively cooperating with Ukraine. In 2014, when the military-industrial complex Nezalezhnaya began to experience serious problems, the prudent Alexander Grigoryevich decided to hire valuable specialists and Technology to the hands. So, there were anti-tank systems “Skif”, which are sold in Ukraine as ATGM “Stugna”, and in Belarus - ATGM “Shershen”. The T-38 Stilet short-range anti-aircraft missile system was jointly developed. President Lukashenko himself stated that eight powerful enterprises operate in the framework of common projects in his country.

And now here are the rockets. The Belarusian leader explained what he wants from Ukraine:

We are talking about increasing the range and power of these missiles on the basis of the base that we have, the experience of our partners, especially the People’s Republic of China, with which we actively cooperate in the field of rocket science.


This is a rocket designed for Polonaise. Belarusian military expert Alexander Alesin told how he received information through his channels that her real range could significantly exceed declared, reaching 500 kilometers. And this is already comparable with the Russian Iskanders:

If this is true, then the new missile is the undisputed leader among the novelties of the Belarusian military industry. In fact, it is a Euro-strategic weapon. From the Belarusian territory it will reach Moscow, Kiev, Warsaw, Vilnius, Riga and Tallinn.


That is, it is flying to Moscow now, but the Old Man wants to further increase its range. Optimists will argue that this weapon is directed against the West and will defend the borders of the common Union State. I would like to believe in it, but the political background for this missile race is not very favorable.

After Minsk refused to deploy an air force base on its territory, the Russian military attaché, Roman Spiridonov, was expelled from Belarus without explanation. Further, when this question was raised during personal communication between Presidents Putin and Lukashenko at a forum in Yerevan, Alexander Grigoryevich defiantly prematurely left Armenia without saying goodbye. And then flew to Zhytomyr, where he took an interest in Ukrainian missiles. Taken together, it all looks, to put it mildly, not very good.

The Belarusian president said that with the help of Ukraine he will receive new missiles in one and a half to two years. Of course, even in a bad dream, it’s hard to imagine that Minsk will fight with Russia and put the Polonaises into action. Alexander G. is too smart and cautious person for this. But he is not eternal.

Who will replace him in Belarus and in what way? Are there any guarantees that another coup d'etat will not happen in the neighboring republic, like in Ukraine? Then the “Belarusian Poroshenko” will immediately have on hand an arsenal of missiles reaching Moscow and beyond. It would not even be necessary to place American missiles in Belarus to create a source of constant threat and tension for Russia.
Photos used: http://www.belvpo.com/
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  1. Sapsan136 Offline
    Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 7 October 2019 13: 45
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    It's time to stop feeding the independent collective farmer and others like him at the expense and expense of the Russian Federation! Since they are so independent, let them live at their own expense, and not at the expense of the Russian Federation!
    1. Breard Offline
      Breard (Serg) 9 October 2019 06: 59
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      Feed yourself ....
      The Old Man .... officials do not steal, corruption - NO! This is in your rush ... embezzler of embezzlement ... and relatives in government officials! Or cops - Zakharchenka or FSBshniki billionaires!
      1. Galar Offline
        Galar (Timur) 9 October 2019 08: 18
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        Russia and Belarus are different countries, and this is not Lukashenko’s fault.
  2. steelmaker Offline
    steelmaker 7 October 2019 14: 50
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    They would offer Lukashenko the post of president of RUSSIA, and his head would immediately hurt. Headaches will begin in thieves in Russia!
    1. Sapsan136 Offline
      Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 7 October 2019 15: 21
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      Lukashenko did not recognize Crimea as part of the Russian Federation, so which of them is the president of Russia ?! He is as rotten as Yanukovych and will end worse than him!
      1. DPN Offline
        DPN (DPN) 8 October 2019 22: 06
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        He’s a paratrooper, he can slap his ears.
        1. Sapsan136 Offline
          Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 9 October 2019 12: 11
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          Such as he, Lenin called Political ... but then you know ... An alcoholic, sick with Russophobia, worthless and stupid.
      2. Breard Offline
        Breard (Serg) 9 October 2019 08: 23
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        And where does the Crimea ... and its recognition! (Yes, and with Crimea this is a jamb ... of the main drunk and the president of Russia ...) Belarus - NOT RUSSIA! ... NOT a region of Russia ... to obey ...
        And our INDEPENDENT - the Greatest Friend - China, Crimea ... recognized? NOT.
        Or he has Uigurs ... who also want to leave China!
        Although Lukashenko-today .... YES, RECOGNIZED!
        1. Sapsan136 Offline
          Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 9 October 2019 12: 13
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          China at the expense of the Russian Federation, like potato Sasha, does not live, so there is a difference, as they say in Odessa ...
    2. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 7 October 2019 18: 18
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      And his face does not crack? repeat Khrushchev was enough for us. sad
      Lukashenko proved himself as a brilliant leader? belay What did he do great to change the Constitution for him? stop He has no citizenship. Let them get a residence permit and wait for a passport on a common basis. yes Well, or combined and nominated for the president of the union state. fellow Only he will not do this, because the chances of winning the election are near zero.
      Russia to steer those who wish fully, let it be in the queue for Lech Walesa. lol
      As for the missiles themselves, then

      RZSO Polonaise is a launcher for eight 301-mm Chinese A200 missiles on the MZKT-7930 chassis.

      (damned Wikipedia)laughing That the tractors are doing good, in the know, in general - successes in the field of rocket science. lol
    3. DPN Offline
      DPN (DPN) 8 October 2019 22: 02
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      Yeltsin was frightened at the time and refused such a union and election.
    4. Breard Offline
      Breard (Serg) 9 October 2019 06: 55
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      Oh, how true! ..
      YES ... Five years and the country would recover !!
  3. beeper Offline
    beeper 7 October 2019 20: 02
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    Then the “Belarusian Poroshenko” will immediately have on hand an arsenal of missiles reaching Moscow and beyond. It would not even be necessary to place American missiles in Belarus to create a source of constant threat and tension for Russia.

    Well, the “Belarusian Father’s” LAS itself can have time to “amicably” share long-range missiles with the Banderlog allies ??!
    The Washington curators of Ukraine (and now it looks like Belarus?) Will only be happy with such a "joint project" and, perhaps, for this "friendly service" they will promise some kind of preference to the "last dictator of Europe" and its heirs ?!
  4. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 8 October 2019 07: 30
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    Quote: pishchak
    Then the “Belarusian Poroshenko” will immediately have on hand an arsenal of missiles reaching Moscow and beyond. It would not even be necessary to place American missiles in Belarus to create a source of constant threat and tension for Russia.

    Well, the “Belarusian Father’s” LAS itself can have time to “amicably” share long-range missiles with the Banderlog allies ??!
    The Washington curators of Ukraine (and now it looks like Belarus?) Will only be happy with such a "joint project" and, perhaps, for this "friendly service" they will promise some kind of preference to the "last dictator of Europe" and its heirs ?!

    With Belarus, in the end, it can come out even worse than with Ukraine ...
  5. Sergey Latyshev Offline
    Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 8 October 2019 10: 05
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    Haha What the oligarchs in the Russian Federation and Belarus will decide will happen.
    Money does not smell.
    And no posts of cashless Internet people will not hinder them.
    1. boriz Offline
      boriz (boriz) 8 October 2019 12: 31
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      ... no ...

      Eh, the United Generation, hate everything Russian so much as to mutilate the Russian language too ...
      1. Sergey Latyshev Offline
        Sergey Latyshev (Serge) 9 October 2019 09: 47
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        Wah !!! strong!
        Especially in Google I fawned - no like no ....
        So slander, Trotskyism and work for the State Department !!!!!

        Or maybe you are offended by the oligarchs ????
  6. Vladimir Khrebtov (Vladimir Khrebtov) 8 October 2019 15: 37
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    Where does our FSB and counterintelligence sleep. Go learn from Massad. Although, if you believe the words of Vysotsky - "There are 2/3 of our people."
  7. Galar Offline
    Galar (Timur) 8 October 2019 19: 20
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    Maybe then Sergey Marzhetsky holds Belarus for a friend, and not for an enemy, as Putin is doing now?
  8. DPN Offline
    DPN (DPN) 8 October 2019 22: 13
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    Let them live at their own expense. THEY live at the expense of their own heads, and WE at the expense of the natural resources of OIL and GAS.
  9. Igorzxc Offline
    Igorzxc (igorzxc) 8 October 2019 23: 12
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    Russia is seeking to aggravate relations with another country.
    Soon Russian thieves will have friends only North Korea, Syria with Iran and other outcasts.
    Involuntarily recalls the saying:

    Say who your friend is and I will say who you are!
    1. 123 Offline
      123 (123) 9 October 2019 02: 46
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      China, India also included in the rogue list?
      Judging by the population, it’s a long list, don’t you?
      And what a vile Roguly habit of calling Russian thieves?
    2. Sapsan136 Offline
      Sapsan136 (Sapsan136) 9 October 2019 12: 15
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      Let's see what you will become when Russia sends you away ... Two-thirds of the budget of the Republic of Belarus is the money of the Russian Federation, you eat our bread!
  10. Breard Offline
    Breard (Serg) 9 October 2019 06: 54
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    Dad does everything right. Ours decided to throw it ...
    He suggested to Putin:
    - "Let's make wheeled platforms together" ...
    He has on the basis of MAZ an excellent wheelbase for the "Shell" ... they did at the very beginning! As our media say - “we are the peoples of the brothers” ... but then our officials decided to earn ... - the answer was:
    - No, we ourselves will master the state billions for this!
    Hmm ... Old Man asked ... sell ... don’t give, but sell Iskander (Minsk MZKT-7930 chassis) .... the answer was NO.
    So they did their own.
    1. Galar Offline
      Galar (Timur) 9 October 2019 08: 06
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      Something somehow stopped talking about the KAMAZ centipede, will this machine or not will be, what kind of silence?
      1. Breard Offline
        Breard (Serg) 9 October 2019 08: 18
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        Hmm ... "about the KAMAZ centipede," as an option, the first money, maybe already ... everyone has "mastered" it, but there is no new money!
  11. The comment was deleted.
    1. Breard Offline
      Breard (Serg) 9 October 2019 08: 15
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      Hmm .... I have a daughter ... the eldest with her family 3 weeks ago had the imprudence to go to Belarus.
      She is in moral shock .... "What kind people! How simple, beautiful, and clean!
      They are wonderful towards us, Russians! "... we really are the peoples of the brothers" - and THIS is propaganda of the damned Old Man!
      1. Galar Offline
        Galar (Timur) 9 October 2019 08: 22
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        I did not understand your sarcasm too much. The fact that the Russians and Belarusians are one people is a historical fact, the Old Man does not breed nationalism and does not lead Belarus to the West, the people speak Russian, but under capitalism - money apart.
        1. Breard Offline
          Breard (Serg) 9 October 2019 08: 52
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          1000% TRUE ... "what Russians and Belarusians are."
          YES! But Russians, Belarusians, and Ukrainians are ONE people!
          And today they live in DIFFERENT states - intentionally! So that it would be EASY to set "brother against brother" .... like it is with Ukraine. Amerikosam, "Europeans" ... this succeeded in 91, 93 years! And now we’re fighting .. almost directly! We are at war with the "Ukrainians" ... almost like in the Great Patriotic War with the Vlasovites!
          It’s a pity, it’s a pity that the real fascists and nationalists, in the worst sense, are in power in Ukraine!
          But the worst thing is that this disease ... infected a large number of Ukrainians. Well, the Americans will die with bones, but they will not allow Ukraine to be "treated".
          Of course, it's all about capitalism ... by definition. Many Russians - "businessmen" and bureaucrats really want it very much - the money doesn’t even go apart ... but you need it! try to sniff .. and the "people - brother" ... however, find the right words! In order to get into your "Russians" "ears" and "explain" .. what a bad thing - the scoundrel President Lukashenko ... who did not give it! To plunder his country! How did it with Russia.
          Hmm ... Well, Sasha Lukashenko ... to survive between Europe and Russia ... you need to do MUCH!
          Well, so that the Belarusians themselves ... understand.
  12. Galar Offline
    Galar (Timur) 9 October 2019 09: 06
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    Quote: Breard
    But the worst thing is that this disease ... infected a large number of Ukrainians.

    And how much did you specifically infect? For example, they do not go to the APU of their own free will, but drive people by force or for promises about all sorts of rewards and benefits. I think that Ukrainians are not Ukrainians, but those who live in Ukraine and speak Russian, everyone sees that the new nation of ukrov is actually Jews, indulging in a new, fictitious language and these Ukrainians are engaged in plundering Ukraine and the destruction of the people, like Poroshenko.
    It’s just that our media and all the other media really need to maintain the line of confrontation of peoples and pitting, which is what the Russian authorities are actually doing.
  13. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 9 October 2019 10: 55
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    Quote: Galar
    Maybe then Sergey Marzhetsky holds Belarus for a friend, and not for an enemy, as Putin is doing now?

    I very much sympathize with Belarus, where my paternal ancestors came from, and personally respect President Lukashenko. But I have to look from the bell tower of Russian interests.
  14. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 9 October 2019 10: 56
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    Quote: Breard
    Dad does everything right. Ours decided to throw it ...
    He suggested to Putin:
    - "Let's make wheeled platforms together" ...
    He has on the basis of MAZ an excellent wheelbase for the "Shell" ... they did at the very beginning! As our media say - “we are the peoples of the brothers” ... but then our officials decided to earn ... - the answer was:
    - No, we ourselves will master the state billions for this!
    Hmm ... Old Man asked ... sell ... don’t give, but sell Iskander (Minsk MZKT-7930 chassis) .... the answer was NO.
    So they did their own.

    He was offered a version of Iskander-E.
  15. Marzhecki Offline
    Marzhecki (Sergei) 9 October 2019 10: 58
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    Quote: Igorzxc
    Russia is seeking to aggravate relations with another country.
    Soon Russian thieves will have friends only North Korea, Syria with Iran and other outcasts.
    Involuntarily recalls the saying:

    Say who your friend is and I will say who you are!

    You do not confuse Russia and persons temporarily in power.
    This is not the same thing.